**Trader consensus in the Jinan lowest-temperature market on August 29, 2026, clusters tightly around 18–20 °C (combined implied probability near 95 %), reflecting modest uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum under persistent cloud cover and light northeast flow.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration points to a nighttime low near 21 °C, consistent with real-time observations holding in the 21–22 °C range through the early morning hours. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression under high humidity creates the narrow probability band, while historical late-August climatology for Jinan (typical lows 20–23 °C) anchors expectations. No major synoptic shift is anticipated before resolution, keeping the market sensitive to the final hourly minimum reported by local stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jinan on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on August 29?
13°C 91%
15°C 91%
12°C or below 82%
18°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
82%
13°C
91%
14°C
1%
15°C
91%
16°C
2%
17°C
47%
18°C
48%
19°C
47%
20°C
48%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
1%
13°C 91%
15°C 91%
12°C or below 82%
18°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
$32 Vol.
82%
13°C
$32 Vol.
91%
14°C
$32 Vol.
1%
15°C
$162 Vol.
91%
16°C
$416 Vol.
2%
17°C
$164 Vol.
47%
18°C
$0 Vol.
48%
19°C
$0 Vol.
47%
20°C
$29 Vol.
48%
21°C
$317 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$854 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in the Jinan lowest-temperature market on August 29, 2026, clusters tightly around 18–20 °C (combined implied probability near 95 %), reflecting modest uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum under persistent cloud cover and light northeast flow.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration points to a nighttime low near 21 °C, consistent with real-time observations holding in the 21–22 °C range through the early morning hours. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression under high humidity creates the narrow probability band, while historical late-August climatology for Jinan (typical lows 20–23 °C) anchors expectations. No major synoptic shift is anticipated before resolution, keeping the market sensitive to the final hourly minimum reported by local stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$2,036End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in the Jinan lowest-temperature market on August 29, 2026, clusters tightly around 18–20 °C (combined implied probability near 95 %), reflecting modest uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum under persistent cloud cover and light northeast flow.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration points to a nighttime low near 21 °C, consistent with real-time observations holding in the 21–22 °C range through the early morning hours. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression under high humidity creates the narrow probability band, while historical late-August climatology for Jinan (typical lows 20–23 °C) anchors expectations. No major synoptic shift is anticipated before resolution, keeping the market sensitive to the final hourly minimum reported by local stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,036End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus in the Jinan lowest-temperature market on August 29, 2026, clusters tightly around 18–20 °C (combined implied probability near 95 %), reflecting modest uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum under persistent cloud cover and light northeast flow.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration points to a nighttime low near 21 °C, consistent with real-time observations holding in the 21–22 °C range through the early morning hours. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression under high humidity creates the narrow probability band, while historical late-August climatology for Jinan (typical lows 20–23 °C) anchors expectations. No major synoptic shift is anticipated before resolution, keeping the market sensitive to the final hourly minimum reported by local stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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