**Current forecast models point to a minimum temperature near 12–13°C for Mexico City on August 27, shaped by the city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) and the ongoing rainy season’s cloud cover and humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling.** Recent observations show overnight lows holding around 12–13°C amid scattered showers and overcast skies, consistent with climatological August averages. Numerical guidance from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles shows modest spread, with drier or clearer intervals potentially allowing dips toward 11°C but limited risk of extremes below 10°C given expected moisture and light winds. Traders appear to price notable uncertainty in the final observed low at the reference station, reflected in elevated implied odds for cooler buckets near the forecast range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 27?
9°C or below 85%
19°C or higher 45%
17°C 35%
18°C 35%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
9°C or below
85%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
35%
18°C
35%
19°C or higher
45%
9°C or below 85%
19°C or higher 45%
17°C 35%
18°C 35%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
9°C or below
$22 Vol.
85%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$22 Vol.
35%
18°C
$22 Vol.
35%
19°C or higher
$22 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models point to a minimum temperature near 12–13°C for Mexico City on August 27, shaped by the city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) and the ongoing rainy season’s cloud cover and humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling.** Recent observations show overnight lows holding around 12–13°C amid scattered showers and overcast skies, consistent with climatological August averages. Numerical guidance from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles shows modest spread, with drier or clearer intervals potentially allowing dips toward 11°C but limited risk of extremes below 10°C given expected moisture and light winds. Traders appear to price notable uncertainty in the final observed low at the reference station, reflected in elevated implied odds for cooler buckets near the forecast range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$87End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models point to a minimum temperature near 12–13°C for Mexico City on August 27, shaped by the city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) and the ongoing rainy season’s cloud cover and humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling.** Recent observations show overnight lows holding around 12–13°C amid scattered showers and overcast skies, consistent with climatological August averages. Numerical guidance from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles shows modest spread, with drier or clearer intervals potentially allowing dips toward 11°C but limited risk of extremes below 10°C given expected moisture and light winds. Traders appear to price notable uncertainty in the final observed low at the reference station, reflected in elevated implied odds for cooler buckets near the forecast range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$87End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models point to a minimum temperature near 12–13°C for Mexico City on August 27, shaped by the city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) and the ongoing rainy season’s cloud cover and humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling.** Recent observations show overnight lows holding around 12–13°C amid scattered showers and overcast skies, consistent with climatological August averages. Numerical guidance from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles shows modest spread, with drier or clearer intervals potentially allowing dips toward 11°C but limited risk of extremes below 10°C given expected moisture and light winds. Traders appear to price notable uncertainty in the final observed low at the reference station, reflected in elevated implied odds for cooler buckets near the forecast range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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