The Black Ball leads trader sentiment for the 2027 Best International Feature Oscar with a 63% implied probability, driven by its strong Cannes reception as Spain’s likely submission and Netflix’s backing for the Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi-directed epic. Early guild and critics’ buzz, combined with its positioning as a frontrunner in precursor predictions, has solidified market consensus around the film. Other entries such as Fjord (18%), All of a Sudden, Fatherland, and Minotaur sit lower as international submissions ramp up and festival circuits continue through fall. With official shortlist announcements still months away, traders are watching for additional Cannes or Venice momentum and country selections that could shift the field before December voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner
Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner
The Black Ball 64%
Fjord 21%
Coward 11.3%
Rose 9%
NEW
NEW
Mar 14, 2027
The Black Ball
64%
Fjord
17%
Coward
11%
Rose
9%
All of a Sudden
8%
The Beloved
6%
Possible Love
5%
Parallel Tales
5%
Sheep in the Box
4%
The Dreamed Adventure
4%
Hope
4%
Minotaur
3%
Bitter Christmas
2%
The Man I Love
1%
Fatherland
7%
The Black Ball 64%
Fjord 21%
Coward 11.3%
Rose 9%
NEW
NEW
Mar 14, 2027
The Black Ball
$4,343 Vol.
64%
Fjord
$599 Vol.
17%
Coward
$268 Vol.
11%
Rose
$192 Vol.
9%
All of a Sudden
$244 Vol.
8%
The Beloved
$224 Vol.
6%
Possible Love
$220 Vol.
5%
Parallel Tales
$130 Vol.
5%
Sheep in the Box
$168 Vol.
4%
The Dreamed Adventure
$178 Vol.
4%
Hope
$174 Vol.
4%
Minotaur
$176 Vol.
3%
Bitter Christmas
$163 Vol.
2%
The Man I Love
$151 Vol.
1%
Fatherland
$164 Vol.
7%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Black Ball leads trader sentiment for the 2027 Best International Feature Oscar with a 63% implied probability, driven by its strong Cannes reception as Spain’s likely submission and Netflix’s backing for the Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi-directed epic. Early guild and critics’ buzz, combined with its positioning as a frontrunner in precursor predictions, has solidified market consensus around the film. Other entries such as Fjord (18%), All of a Sudden, Fatherland, and Minotaur sit lower as international submissions ramp up and festival circuits continue through fall. With official shortlist announcements still months away, traders are watching for additional Cannes or Venice momentum and country selections that could shift the field before December voting.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ET
Volume
$7,394End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Black Ball leads trader sentiment for the 2027 Best International Feature Oscar with a 63% implied probability, driven by its strong Cannes reception as Spain’s likely submission and Netflix’s backing for the Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi-directed epic. Early guild and critics’ buzz, combined with its positioning as a frontrunner in precursor predictions, has solidified market consensus around the film. Other entries such as Fjord (18%), All of a Sudden, Fatherland, and Minotaur sit lower as international submissions ramp up and festival circuits continue through fall. With official shortlist announcements still months away, traders are watching for additional Cannes or Venice momentum and country selections that could shift the field before December voting.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,394End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Black Ball leads trader sentiment for the 2027 Best International Feature Oscar with a 63% implied probability, driven by its strong Cannes reception as Spain’s likely submission and Netflix’s backing for the Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi-directed epic. Early guild and critics’ buzz, combined with its positioning as a frontrunner in precursor predictions, has solidified market consensus around the film. Other entries such as Fjord (18%), All of a Sudden, Fatherland, and Minotaur sit lower as international submissions ramp up and festival circuits continue through fall. With official shortlist announcements still months away, traders are watching for additional Cannes or Venice momentum and country selections that could shift the field before December voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions