Dr. Fernando Máximo leads trader consensus for first place in Rondônia’s October 4 Senate election at 37%, narrowly ahead of Sílvia Cristina at 31%, with Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid and others well behind. Recent July polling from Real Time Big Data and Phoenix shows Máximo ahead on first-preference votes due to his strong 2022 federal deputy performance and prior state health secretary role, while Sílvia Cristina benefits from name recognition as a two-term federal deputy and appeal in the state’s center-right electorate. Multiple PL-aligned candidates, Confúcio Moura’s withdrawal, and the dual-seat format keep the top spot contested. Late-campaign polling shifts, endorsements, or turnout among bolsonarista voters could widen the gap before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRondônia Senate Election: 1st Place
Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place
Sílvia Cristina 38%
Dr. Fernando Máximo 36%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 7.7%
Acir Gurgacz 1.7%
$15,633 Vol.
$15,633 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Sílvia Cristina
38%
Dr. Fernando Máximo
36%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
8%
Acir Gurgacz
2%
Luciana Oliveira
1%
Mariana Carvalho
1%
Engenheiro Thulio
1%
Luis Fernando
1%
Aires Mota
<1%
Neidinha
<1%
Sílvia Cristina 38%
Dr. Fernando Máximo 36%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 7.7%
Acir Gurgacz 1.7%
$15,633 Vol.
$15,633 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Sílvia Cristina
$4,704 Vol.
38%
Dr. Fernando Máximo
$8,211 Vol.
36%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
$284 Vol.
8%
Acir Gurgacz
$302 Vol.
2%
Luciana Oliveira
$313 Vol.
1%
Mariana Carvalho
$352 Vol.
1%
Engenheiro Thulio
$314 Vol.
1%
Luis Fernando
$260 Vol.
1%
Aires Mota
$327 Vol.
<1%
Neidinha
$568 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Fernando Máximo leads trader consensus for first place in Rondônia’s October 4 Senate election at 37%, narrowly ahead of Sílvia Cristina at 31%, with Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid and others well behind. Recent July polling from Real Time Big Data and Phoenix shows Máximo ahead on first-preference votes due to his strong 2022 federal deputy performance and prior state health secretary role, while Sílvia Cristina benefits from name recognition as a two-term federal deputy and appeal in the state’s center-right electorate. Multiple PL-aligned candidates, Confúcio Moura’s withdrawal, and the dual-seat format keep the top spot contested. Late-campaign polling shifts, endorsements, or turnout among bolsonarista voters could widen the gap before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volume
$15,633End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Fernando Máximo leads trader consensus for first place in Rondônia’s October 4 Senate election at 37%, narrowly ahead of Sílvia Cristina at 31%, with Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid and others well behind. Recent July polling from Real Time Big Data and Phoenix shows Máximo ahead on first-preference votes due to his strong 2022 federal deputy performance and prior state health secretary role, while Sílvia Cristina benefits from name recognition as a two-term federal deputy and appeal in the state’s center-right electorate. Multiple PL-aligned candidates, Confúcio Moura’s withdrawal, and the dual-seat format keep the top spot contested. Late-campaign polling shifts, endorsements, or turnout among bolsonarista voters could widen the gap before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$15,633End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Dr. Fernando Máximo leads trader consensus for first place in Rondônia’s October 4 Senate election at 37%, narrowly ahead of Sílvia Cristina at 31%, with Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid and others well behind. Recent July polling from Real Time Big Data and Phoenix shows Máximo ahead on first-preference votes due to his strong 2022 federal deputy performance and prior state health secretary role, while Sílvia Cristina benefits from name recognition as a two-term federal deputy and appeal in the state’s center-right electorate. Multiple PL-aligned candidates, Confúcio Moura’s withdrawal, and the dual-seat format keep the top spot contested. Late-campaign polling shifts, endorsements, or turnout among bolsonarista voters could widen the gap before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions