Teresa Surita leads trader consensus for first place in Roraima's October 4, 2026 Senate election due to her extensive local record as five-time Boa Vista mayor and former federal deputy, backed by an MDB-PDT alliance and support for the Republicanos gubernatorial ticket. Recent asset declarations and party conventions in early August reinforced her positioning ahead of less established challengers. Helio Bolsonaro trails with the PL's national profile but limited prior ties to the state after transferring his voter registration this year. The remaining field of 13 registered candidates, including Nicoletti and Chico Rodrigues, shows fragmented support reflected in lower implied probabilities. The two-seat contest features no runoff, with outcomes hinging on turnout and alliances in the small electorate.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTeresa Surita 67%
Helio Bolsonaro 24%
Nicoletti 3.4%
Rogério Miranda 1.3%
$14,777 Vol.
$14,777 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
67%
Helio Bolsonaro
24%
Nicoletti
3%
Rogério Miranda
1%
Márcio Junqueira
1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
1%
Mario Rocha
1%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Helena da Asatur
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Chico Rodrigues
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Teresa Surita 67%
Helio Bolsonaro 24%
Nicoletti 3.4%
Rogério Miranda 1.3%
$14,777 Vol.
$14,777 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
$6,088 Vol.
67%
Helio Bolsonaro
$2,243 Vol.
24%
Nicoletti
$2,552 Vol.
3%
Rogério Miranda
$520 Vol.
1%
Márcio Junqueira
$354 Vol.
1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$340 Vol.
1%
Mario Rocha
$339 Vol.
1%
Pastor Isamar
$393 Vol.
<1%
Helena da Asatur
$363 Vol.
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$412 Vol.
<1%
Chico Rodrigues
$385 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$404 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$384 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita leads trader consensus for first place in Roraima's October 4, 2026 Senate election due to her extensive local record as five-time Boa Vista mayor and former federal deputy, backed by an MDB-PDT alliance and support for the Republicanos gubernatorial ticket. Recent asset declarations and party conventions in early August reinforced her positioning ahead of less established challengers. Helio Bolsonaro trails with the PL's national profile but limited prior ties to the state after transferring his voter registration this year. The remaining field of 13 registered candidates, including Nicoletti and Chico Rodrigues, shows fragmented support reflected in lower implied probabilities. The two-seat contest features no runoff, with outcomes hinging on turnout and alliances in the small electorate.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volume
$14,777End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita leads trader consensus for first place in Roraima's October 4, 2026 Senate election due to her extensive local record as five-time Boa Vista mayor and former federal deputy, backed by an MDB-PDT alliance and support for the Republicanos gubernatorial ticket. Recent asset declarations and party conventions in early August reinforced her positioning ahead of less established challengers. Helio Bolsonaro trails with the PL's national profile but limited prior ties to the state after transferring his voter registration this year. The remaining field of 13 registered candidates, including Nicoletti and Chico Rodrigues, shows fragmented support reflected in lower implied probabilities. The two-seat contest features no runoff, with outcomes hinging on turnout and alliances in the small electorate.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$14,777End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Teresa Surita leads trader consensus for first place in Roraima's October 4, 2026 Senate election due to her extensive local record as five-time Boa Vista mayor and former federal deputy, backed by an MDB-PDT alliance and support for the Republicanos gubernatorial ticket. Recent asset declarations and party conventions in early August reinforced her positioning ahead of less established challengers. Helio Bolsonaro trails with the PL's national profile but limited prior ties to the state after transferring his voter registration this year. The remaining field of 13 registered candidates, including Nicoletti and Chico Rodrigues, shows fragmented support reflected in lower implied probabilities. The two-seat contest features no runoff, with outcomes hinging on turnout and alliances in the small electorate.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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