Teresa Surita holds a strong lead for first place in Roraima’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, leaving a crowded contest for second among incumbents, former local officials, and national-brand challengers. The field of 13 registered candidates fragments support, with PL’s Hélio Bolsonaro and Nicoletti splitting Bolsonarista voters while PSB’s Chico Rodrigues draws on incumbency and MDB’s Surita consolidates regional backing. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, pricing multiple contenders near even odds for second as no clear polling hierarchy has emerged. Recent party conventions and candidate registrations have not yet produced decisive alliances or endorsements that would consolidate the middle of the pack. A credible survey, visible coordination between PL candidates, or late shifts in turnout among key municipal bases could separate the leaders before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTeresa Surita 32%
Helio Bolsonaro 29.8%
Chico Rodrigues 20%
Nicoletti 8.5%
$15,936 Vol.
$15,936 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
32%
Helio Bolsonaro
30%
Chico Rodrigues
20%
Nicoletti
9%
Helena da Asatur
5%
Mario Rocha
5%
Regina Tio Ivo
4%
Hiperion de Oliveira
4%
Pastor Isamar
3%
Bartô Macuxi
1%
Rogério Miranda
1%
Márcio Junqueira
1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Teresa Surita 32%
Helio Bolsonaro 29.8%
Chico Rodrigues 20%
Nicoletti 8.5%
$15,936 Vol.
$15,936 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
$4,463 Vol.
32%
Helio Bolsonaro
$5,811 Vol.
30%
Chico Rodrigues
$1,876 Vol.
20%
Nicoletti
$2,144 Vol.
9%
Helena da Asatur
$205 Vol.
5%
Mario Rocha
$159 Vol.
5%
Regina Tio Ivo
$181 Vol.
4%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$167 Vol.
4%
Pastor Isamar
$299 Vol.
3%
Bartô Macuxi
$179 Vol.
1%
Rogério Miranda
$175 Vol.
1%
Márcio Junqueira
$168 Vol.
1%
Hilton Xavier
$147 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita holds a strong lead for first place in Roraima’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, leaving a crowded contest for second among incumbents, former local officials, and national-brand challengers. The field of 13 registered candidates fragments support, with PL’s Hélio Bolsonaro and Nicoletti splitting Bolsonarista voters while PSB’s Chico Rodrigues draws on incumbency and MDB’s Surita consolidates regional backing. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, pricing multiple contenders near even odds for second as no clear polling hierarchy has emerged. Recent party conventions and candidate registrations have not yet produced decisive alliances or endorsements that would consolidate the middle of the pack. A credible survey, visible coordination between PL candidates, or late shifts in turnout among key municipal bases could separate the leaders before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Volume
$15,936End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita holds a strong lead for first place in Roraima’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, leaving a crowded contest for second among incumbents, former local officials, and national-brand challengers. The field of 13 registered candidates fragments support, with PL’s Hélio Bolsonaro and Nicoletti splitting Bolsonarista voters while PSB’s Chico Rodrigues draws on incumbency and MDB’s Surita consolidates regional backing. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, pricing multiple contenders near even odds for second as no clear polling hierarchy has emerged. Recent party conventions and candidate registrations have not yet produced decisive alliances or endorsements that would consolidate the middle of the pack. A credible survey, visible coordination between PL candidates, or late shifts in turnout among key municipal bases could separate the leaders before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$15,936End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Teresa Surita holds a strong lead for first place in Roraima’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, leaving a crowded contest for second among incumbents, former local officials, and national-brand challengers. The field of 13 registered candidates fragments support, with PL’s Hélio Bolsonaro and Nicoletti splitting Bolsonarista voters while PSB’s Chico Rodrigues draws on incumbency and MDB’s Surita consolidates regional backing. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, pricing multiple contenders near even odds for second as no clear polling hierarchy has emerged. Recent party conventions and candidate registrations have not yet produced decisive alliances or endorsements that would consolidate the middle of the pack. A credible survey, visible coordination between PL candidates, or late shifts in turnout among key municipal bases could separate the leaders before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions