In the Espírito Santo Senate race for two seats, trader consensus places Sérgio Meneguelli (PSD) narrowly ahead for second place amid a crowded field of eleven candidates. The contest remains tight due to Renato Casagrande’s (PSB) commanding lead in available polling, leaving several contenders—including Rose de Freitas (MDB), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Marcos do Val (Avante), and Maguinha Malta—competing for the remaining position with comparable but limited support. Meneguelli’s strong prior electoral performance as a state deputy and established regional base in areas like Colatina sustain his positioning, while family political networks and party shifts add fluidity. Upcoming debates, fresh polling releases, endorsements from state figures, and shifts in undecided or regional voter blocs in Greater Vitória or interior municipalities could widen gaps before the October vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSergio Meneguelli 52%
Rose de Freitas 20.9%
Fabiano Contarato 11.3%
Maguinha Malta 3.4%
$13,494 Vol.
$13,494 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Sergio Meneguelli
52%
Rose de Freitas
18%
Fabiano Contarato
11%
Maguinha Malta
3%
Callegari
3%
Marcos do Val
1%
Rodney Miranda
1%
Renato Casagrande
1%
Leonardo Monjardim
1%
Evair de Melo
<1%
Professor Fabian
<1%
Sergio Meneguelli 52%
Rose de Freitas 20.9%
Fabiano Contarato 11.3%
Maguinha Malta 3.4%
$13,494 Vol.
$13,494 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Sergio Meneguelli
$10,527 Vol.
52%
Rose de Freitas
$736 Vol.
18%
Fabiano Contarato
$267 Vol.
11%
Maguinha Malta
$181 Vol.
3%
Callegari
$398 Vol.
3%
Marcos do Val
$205 Vol.
1%
Rodney Miranda
$139 Vol.
1%
Renato Casagrande
$229 Vol.
1%
Leonardo Monjardim
$258 Vol.
1%
Evair de Melo
$354 Vol.
<1%
Professor Fabian
$201 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Espírito Santo Senate race for two seats, trader consensus places Sérgio Meneguelli (PSD) narrowly ahead for second place amid a crowded field of eleven candidates. The contest remains tight due to Renato Casagrande’s (PSB) commanding lead in available polling, leaving several contenders—including Rose de Freitas (MDB), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Marcos do Val (Avante), and Maguinha Malta—competing for the remaining position with comparable but limited support. Meneguelli’s strong prior electoral performance as a state deputy and established regional base in areas like Colatina sustain his positioning, while family political networks and party shifts add fluidity. Upcoming debates, fresh polling releases, endorsements from state figures, and shifts in undecided or regional voter blocs in Greater Vitória or interior municipalities could widen gaps before the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
Volume
$13,494End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Espírito Santo Senate race for two seats, trader consensus places Sérgio Meneguelli (PSD) narrowly ahead for second place amid a crowded field of eleven candidates. The contest remains tight due to Renato Casagrande’s (PSB) commanding lead in available polling, leaving several contenders—including Rose de Freitas (MDB), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Marcos do Val (Avante), and Maguinha Malta—competing for the remaining position with comparable but limited support. Meneguelli’s strong prior electoral performance as a state deputy and established regional base in areas like Colatina sustain his positioning, while family political networks and party shifts add fluidity. Upcoming debates, fresh polling releases, endorsements from state figures, and shifts in undecided or regional voter blocs in Greater Vitória or interior municipalities could widen gaps before the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$13,494End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the Espírito Santo Senate race for two seats, trader consensus places Sérgio Meneguelli (PSD) narrowly ahead for second place amid a crowded field of eleven candidates. The contest remains tight due to Renato Casagrande’s (PSB) commanding lead in available polling, leaving several contenders—including Rose de Freitas (MDB), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Marcos do Val (Avante), and Maguinha Malta—competing for the remaining position with comparable but limited support. Meneguelli’s strong prior electoral performance as a state deputy and established regional base in areas like Colatina sustain his positioning, while family political networks and party shifts add fluidity. Upcoming debates, fresh polling releases, endorsements from state figures, and shifts in undecided or regional voter blocs in Greater Vitória or interior municipalities could widen gaps before the October vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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