Recent polling from mid-August shows Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat in Goiás, while Gustavo Gayer (PL) holds a narrow edge in the multi-candidate contest for second place. Surveys indicate Gayer ahead of sitting Senator Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD) and Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), though margins remain within error and undecided voters exceed 30 percent. Candidate registrations finalized in early August, with Gayer, Caiado, and others securing party nominations amid fragmented opposition and overlapping gubernatorial races. Trader consensus on Gayer for second reflects his consistent polling gains and party infrastructure, yet the outcome stays sensitive to late shifts in turnout, alliances, or voter consolidation among the numerous contenders vying for the remaining seat on October 4.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGustavo Gayer 57%
Gracinha Caiado 27%
Gustavo Mendanha 9%
Vanderlan Cardoso 4.5%
$20,520 Vol.
$20,520 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Gustavo Gayer
57%
Gracinha Caiado
27%
Gustavo Mendanha
11%
Vanderlan Cardoso
5%
Iure Castro
4%
Cintia Dias
4%
Ernesto Roller
2%
Dr. Zacharias Calil
2%
Guilherme Darques
1%
Oséias Varão
<1%
Isaura Lemos
<1%
Gustavo Gayer 57%
Gracinha Caiado 27%
Gustavo Mendanha 9%
Vanderlan Cardoso 4.5%
$20,520 Vol.
$20,520 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Gustavo Gayer
$17,795 Vol.
57%
Gracinha Caiado
$1,183 Vol.
27%
Gustavo Mendanha
$228 Vol.
11%
Vanderlan Cardoso
$176 Vol.
5%
Iure Castro
$158 Vol.
4%
Cintia Dias
$219 Vol.
4%
Ernesto Roller
$158 Vol.
2%
Dr. Zacharias Calil
$158 Vol.
2%
Guilherme Darques
$141 Vol.
1%
Oséias Varão
$155 Vol.
<1%
Isaura Lemos
$146 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from mid-August shows Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat in Goiás, while Gustavo Gayer (PL) holds a narrow edge in the multi-candidate contest for second place. Surveys indicate Gayer ahead of sitting Senator Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD) and Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), though margins remain within error and undecided voters exceed 30 percent. Candidate registrations finalized in early August, with Gayer, Caiado, and others securing party nominations amid fragmented opposition and overlapping gubernatorial races. Trader consensus on Gayer for second reflects his consistent polling gains and party infrastructure, yet the outcome stays sensitive to late shifts in turnout, alliances, or voter consolidation among the numerous contenders vying for the remaining seat on October 4.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ET
Volume
$20,520End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from mid-August shows Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat in Goiás, while Gustavo Gayer (PL) holds a narrow edge in the multi-candidate contest for second place. Surveys indicate Gayer ahead of sitting Senator Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD) and Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), though margins remain within error and undecided voters exceed 30 percent. Candidate registrations finalized in early August, with Gayer, Caiado, and others securing party nominations amid fragmented opposition and overlapping gubernatorial races. Trader consensus on Gayer for second reflects his consistent polling gains and party infrastructure, yet the outcome stays sensitive to late shifts in turnout, alliances, or voter consolidation among the numerous contenders vying for the remaining seat on October 4.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$20,520End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from mid-August shows Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat in Goiás, while Gustavo Gayer (PL) holds a narrow edge in the multi-candidate contest for second place. Surveys indicate Gayer ahead of sitting Senator Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD) and Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), though margins remain within error and undecided voters exceed 30 percent. Candidate registrations finalized in early August, with Gayer, Caiado, and others securing party nominations amid fragmented opposition and overlapping gubernatorial races. Trader consensus on Gayer for second reflects his consistent polling gains and party infrastructure, yet the outcome stays sensitive to late shifts in turnout, alliances, or voter consolidation among the numerous contenders vying for the remaining seat on October 4.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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