**Forecasts for Dallas on August 27, 2026, center on a high near 98–101°F under mostly sunny skies with light north-to-northeast winds and only a low (20% or less) chance of afternoon showers.** Official guidance from the National Weather Service and multiple models projects a modest cooldown from the preceding days’ 103–106°F readings amid the ongoing extreme heat warning, with heat indices potentially reaching 109°F. Recent observations show persistent triple-digit heat across North Texas, already placing August 2026 among the hottest on record at DFW, but a wind shift and slightly higher dew points are expected to cap the peak slightly below recent maxima. Trader positioning reflects this consensus: the 98–99°F bin leads at 46% implied probability, followed by 100–101°F at 27%, with lower odds on both cooler (96–97°F at 16%) and hotter (102°F+) outcomes. The distribution captures typical forecast spread and model uncertainty in exact afternoon maximum amid variable cloud cover, consistent with climatological late-August norms where daily highs rarely exceed 100°F but frequently reach the upper 90s during heat episodes. Updated NWS briefings and model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 27?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 27?
98-99°F 46%
100-101°F 23%
96-97°F 23%
94-95°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
93°F or below
2%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
23%
98-99°F
46%
100-101°F
18%
102-103°F
9%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
5%
108-109°F
5%
110-111°F
5%
112°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 46%
100-101°F 23%
96-97°F 23%
94-95°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
93°F or below
$17 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$69 Vol.
9%
96-97°F
$276 Vol.
23%
98-99°F
$171 Vol.
46%
100-101°F
$65 Vol.
18%
102-103°F
$36 Vol.
9%
104-105°F
$30 Vol.
5%
106-107°F
$0 Vol.
5%
108-109°F
$0 Vol.
5%
110-111°F
$0 Vol.
5%
112°F or higher
$311 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts for Dallas on August 27, 2026, center on a high near 98–101°F under mostly sunny skies with light north-to-northeast winds and only a low (20% or less) chance of afternoon showers.** Official guidance from the National Weather Service and multiple models projects a modest cooldown from the preceding days’ 103–106°F readings amid the ongoing extreme heat warning, with heat indices potentially reaching 109°F. Recent observations show persistent triple-digit heat across North Texas, already placing August 2026 among the hottest on record at DFW, but a wind shift and slightly higher dew points are expected to cap the peak slightly below recent maxima.
Trader positioning reflects this consensus: the 98–99°F bin leads at 46% implied probability, followed by 100–101°F at 27%, with lower odds on both cooler (96–97°F at 16%) and hotter (102°F+) outcomes. The distribution captures typical forecast spread and model uncertainty in exact afternoon maximum amid variable cloud cover, consistent with climatological late-August norms where daily highs rarely exceed 100°F but frequently reach the upper 90s during heat episodes. Updated NWS briefings and model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$974End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts for Dallas on August 27, 2026, center on a high near 98–101°F under mostly sunny skies with light north-to-northeast winds and only a low (20% or less) chance of afternoon showers.** Official guidance from the National Weather Service and multiple models projects a modest cooldown from the preceding days’ 103–106°F readings amid the ongoing extreme heat warning, with heat indices potentially reaching 109°F. Recent observations show persistent triple-digit heat across North Texas, already placing August 2026 among the hottest on record at DFW, but a wind shift and slightly higher dew points are expected to cap the peak slightly below recent maxima.
Trader positioning reflects this consensus: the 98–99°F bin leads at 46% implied probability, followed by 100–101°F at 27%, with lower odds on both cooler (96–97°F at 16%) and hotter (102°F+) outcomes. The distribution captures typical forecast spread and model uncertainty in exact afternoon maximum amid variable cloud cover, consistent with climatological late-August norms where daily highs rarely exceed 100°F but frequently reach the upper 90s during heat episodes. Updated NWS briefings and model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$974End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts for Dallas on August 27, 2026, center on a high near 98–101°F under mostly sunny skies with light north-to-northeast winds and only a low (20% or less) chance of afternoon showers.** Official guidance from the National Weather Service and multiple models projects a modest cooldown from the preceding days’ 103–106°F readings amid the ongoing extreme heat warning, with heat indices potentially reaching 109°F. Recent observations show persistent triple-digit heat across North Texas, already placing August 2026 among the hottest on record at DFW, but a wind shift and slightly higher dew points are expected to cap the peak slightly below recent maxima. Trader positioning reflects this consensus: the 98–99°F bin leads at 46% implied probability, followed by 100–101°F at 27%, with lower odds on both cooler (96–97°F at 16%) and hotter (102°F+) outcomes. The distribution captures typical forecast spread and model uncertainty in exact afternoon maximum amid variable cloud cover, consistent with climatological late-August norms where daily highs rarely exceed 100°F but frequently reach the upper 90s during heat episodes. Updated NWS briefings and model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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