**Active southwest monsoon conditions, including persistent low-pressure systems over northeast Uttar Pradesh, widespread cloud cover, and frequent thunderstorms with rain, are the dominant factors capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow and driving strong trader consensus around 33°C.** Official IMD observations for Lucknow Airport on August 28 recorded a maximum of 33.5°C (near normal), with 28 mm of rainfall, while forecasts for August 29 consistently project maxima near 34°C under partly cloudy skies with thunder/lightning and isolated showers. High humidity (often 80–95%) and convective activity further suppress peak heating by reducing solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling. Historical August climatology in the region, influenced by the monsoon trough, typically yields daytime highs in the low-to-mid 30s rather than extremes above 35°C. Recent model consensus and ongoing synoptic features (cyclonic circulation extending to 4.5 km) have reinforced expectations of limited intensification, aligning with the market-implied probabilities heavily weighted toward 33°C. Traders appear to be pricing in these verifiable meteorological patterns and official guidance over any outlier warming scenarios.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 29?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 29?
33°C 77%
34°C 13%
35°C or higher 3%
25°C or below <1%
$19,437 Vol.
$19,437 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
77%
34°C
13%
35°C or higher
3%
33°C 77%
34°C 13%
35°C or higher 3%
25°C or below <1%
$19,437 Vol.
$19,437 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
$383 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$421 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$383 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$489 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$518 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$975 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,141 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$7,883 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,001 Vol.
77%
34°C
$1,059 Vol.
13%
35°C or higher
$1,183 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Active southwest monsoon conditions, including persistent low-pressure systems over northeast Uttar Pradesh, widespread cloud cover, and frequent thunderstorms with rain, are the dominant factors capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow and driving strong trader consensus around 33°C.**
Official IMD observations for Lucknow Airport on August 28 recorded a maximum of 33.5°C (near normal), with 28 mm of rainfall, while forecasts for August 29 consistently project maxima near 34°C under partly cloudy skies with thunder/lightning and isolated showers. High humidity (often 80–95%) and convective activity further suppress peak heating by reducing solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling. Historical August climatology in the region, influenced by the monsoon trough, typically yields daytime highs in the low-to-mid 30s rather than extremes above 35°C.
Recent model consensus and ongoing synoptic features (cyclonic circulation extending to 4.5 km) have reinforced expectations of limited intensification, aligning with the market-implied probabilities heavily weighted toward 33°C. Traders appear to be pricing in these verifiable meteorological patterns and official guidance over any outlier warming scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$19,437End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Active southwest monsoon conditions, including persistent low-pressure systems over northeast Uttar Pradesh, widespread cloud cover, and frequent thunderstorms with rain, are the dominant factors capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow and driving strong trader consensus around 33°C.**
Official IMD observations for Lucknow Airport on August 28 recorded a maximum of 33.5°C (near normal), with 28 mm of rainfall, while forecasts for August 29 consistently project maxima near 34°C under partly cloudy skies with thunder/lightning and isolated showers. High humidity (often 80–95%) and convective activity further suppress peak heating by reducing solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling. Historical August climatology in the region, influenced by the monsoon trough, typically yields daytime highs in the low-to-mid 30s rather than extremes above 35°C.
Recent model consensus and ongoing synoptic features (cyclonic circulation extending to 4.5 km) have reinforced expectations of limited intensification, aligning with the market-implied probabilities heavily weighted toward 33°C. Traders appear to be pricing in these verifiable meteorological patterns and official guidance over any outlier warming scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,437End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Active southwest monsoon conditions, including persistent low-pressure systems over northeast Uttar Pradesh, widespread cloud cover, and frequent thunderstorms with rain, are the dominant factors capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow and driving strong trader consensus around 33°C.** Official IMD observations for Lucknow Airport on August 28 recorded a maximum of 33.5°C (near normal), with 28 mm of rainfall, while forecasts for August 29 consistently project maxima near 34°C under partly cloudy skies with thunder/lightning and isolated showers. High humidity (often 80–95%) and convective activity further suppress peak heating by reducing solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling. Historical August climatology in the region, influenced by the monsoon trough, typically yields daytime highs in the low-to-mid 30s rather than extremes above 35°C. Recent model consensus and ongoing synoptic features (cyclonic circulation extending to 4.5 km) have reinforced expectations of limited intensification, aligning with the market-implied probabilities heavily weighted toward 33°C. Traders appear to be pricing in these verifiable meteorological patterns and official guidance over any outlier warming scenarios.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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