**Official IMD forecasts for Lucknow on August 30 project a maximum temperature around 34°C under mainly clear skies with strong surface winds, following recent days with maxima near 33.5°C and active monsoon conditions including isolated rain or thundershowers.** Persistent low-pressure systems over northeast Uttar Pradesh have sustained cloud cover and precipitation across the region, which typically limits daytime heating by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. These factors, combined with historical late-August baselines of 32–34°C, position 32°C and 33°C+ as the leading market-implied outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the risk of heavier localized showers or increased cloudiness that could cap readings below the official outlook, while the 31°C bin reflects residual uncertainty in short-range model guidance ahead of final observational data from the Lucknow-AIRPORT station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 30?
32°C 42%
33°C or higher 28%
31°C 21%
30°C 8%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
21%
32°C
42%
33°C or higher
28%
32°C 42%
33°C or higher 28%
31°C 21%
30°C 8%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
21%
32°C
42%
33°C or higher
28%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official IMD forecasts for Lucknow on August 30 project a maximum temperature around 34°C under mainly clear skies with strong surface winds, following recent days with maxima near 33.5°C and active monsoon conditions including isolated rain or thundershowers.** Persistent low-pressure systems over northeast Uttar Pradesh have sustained cloud cover and precipitation across the region, which typically limits daytime heating by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. These factors, combined with historical late-August baselines of 32–34°C, position 32°C and 33°C+ as the leading market-implied outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the risk of heavier localized showers or increased cloudiness that could cap readings below the official outlook, while the 31°C bin reflects residual uncertainty in short-range model guidance ahead of final observational data from the Lucknow-AIRPORT station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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