Official forecasts for Zhengzhou on August 29 show afternoon highs of 29–32°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with late-summer North China Plain conditions where solar heating persists despite seasonal humidity. Current observations indicate temperatures climbing toward 31°C midday, consistent with regional model runs that favor surface warming without significant frontal activity or monsoon influence. These factors underpin the market's 62% implied probability for 32°C or higher and 32% for exactly 31°C, reflecting trader assessment of observational data and forecast consensus over lower outcomes. Updated model guidance and real-time station readings remain key variables ahead of daily resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 29?
32°C or higher 62%
31°C 33%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
33%
32°C or higher
62%
32°C or higher 62%
31°C 33%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
33%
32°C or higher
62%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts for Zhengzhou on August 29 show afternoon highs of 29–32°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with late-summer North China Plain conditions where solar heating persists despite seasonal humidity. Current observations indicate temperatures climbing toward 31°C midday, consistent with regional model runs that favor surface warming without significant frontal activity or monsoon influence. These factors underpin the market's 62% implied probability for 32°C or higher and 32% for exactly 31°C, reflecting trader assessment of observational data and forecast consensus over lower outcomes. Updated model guidance and real-time station readings remain key variables ahead of daily resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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