Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models indicate a sunny Saturday in Los Angeles with afternoon highs near 90–93°F, followed by overnight lows centered around 70–74°F due to moderate onshore flow and a developing marine layer. Recent moisture from tropical storm remnants has elevated dew points near 68–72°F, limiting radiative cooling, while light southwest winds (5–15 mph) and partial cloud cover overnight further moderate temperature drops. Historical late-August minima average near 65°F, but persistent warmth and variable stratus coverage introduce uncertainty across the 65–75°F bins. Model spreads in marine-layer depth and wind patterns explain the near-even 24–25.5% probabilities, with stronger fog or clearer skies as the main variables that could shift the minimum by several degrees before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 29?
65°F or below 50%
66-67°F 49%
68-69°F 49%
74-75°F 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
65°F or below
50%
66-67°F
49%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
49%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
47%
84°F or higher
47%
65°F or below 50%
66-67°F 49%
68-69°F 49%
74-75°F 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
65°F or below
$0 Vol.
50%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
49%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
49%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
25%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
26%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
49%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
49%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
49%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
47%
84°F or higher
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models indicate a sunny Saturday in Los Angeles with afternoon highs near 90–93°F, followed by overnight lows centered around 70–74°F due to moderate onshore flow and a developing marine layer. Recent moisture from tropical storm remnants has elevated dew points near 68–72°F, limiting radiative cooling, while light southwest winds (5–15 mph) and partial cloud cover overnight further moderate temperature drops. Historical late-August minima average near 65°F, but persistent warmth and variable stratus coverage introduce uncertainty across the 65–75°F bins. Model spreads in marine-layer depth and wind patterns explain the near-even 24–25.5% probabilities, with stronger fog or clearer skies as the main variables that could shift the minimum by several degrees before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models indicate a sunny Saturday in Los Angeles with afternoon highs near 90–93°F, followed by overnight lows centered around 70–74°F due to moderate onshore flow and a developing marine layer. Recent moisture from tropical storm remnants has elevated dew points near 68–72°F, limiting radiative cooling, while light southwest winds (5–15 mph) and partial cloud cover overnight further moderate temperature drops. Historical late-August minima average near 65°F, but persistent warmth and variable stratus coverage introduce uncertainty across the 65–75°F bins. Model spreads in marine-layer depth and wind patterns explain the near-even 24–25.5% probabilities, with stronger fog or clearer skies as the main variables that could shift the minimum by several degrees before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models indicate a sunny Saturday in Los Angeles with afternoon highs near 90–93°F, followed by overnight lows centered around 70–74°F due to moderate onshore flow and a developing marine layer. Recent moisture from tropical storm remnants has elevated dew points near 68–72°F, limiting radiative cooling, while light southwest winds (5–15 mph) and partial cloud cover overnight further moderate temperature drops. Historical late-August minima average near 65°F, but persistent warmth and variable stratus coverage introduce uncertainty across the 65–75°F bins. Model spreads in marine-layer depth and wind patterns explain the near-even 24–25.5% probabilities, with stronger fog or clearer skies as the main variables that could shift the minimum by several degrees before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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