Persistent high humidity and frequent thunderstorm activity are keeping Miami's overnight lows elevated, with official forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models converging on minimum temperatures of 80–82°F for August 29. East-southeast winds advecting moist Atlantic air, combined with extensive cloud cover, limit radiational cooling and maintain dew points near 75°F. This setup aligns with recent observations of daily lows in the upper 70s to low 80s amid above-normal heat indices. The closely matched market probabilities across 80–83°F bins reflect genuine uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity, which could permit modest additional cooling if convection clears earlier than expected. No major tropical systems are influencing the region at present, though updated NWS guidance ahead of the overnight period remains the key near-term catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 29?
68-69°F 48%
74-75°F 47%
76-77°F 47%
80-81°F 31%
67°F or below
30%
68-69°F
48%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
47%
76-77°F
47%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
14%
86°F or higher
7%
68-69°F 48%
74-75°F 47%
76-77°F 47%
80-81°F 31%
67°F or below
30%
68-69°F
48%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
47%
76-77°F
47%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
14%
86°F or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high humidity and frequent thunderstorm activity are keeping Miami's overnight lows elevated, with official forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models converging on minimum temperatures of 80–82°F for August 29. East-southeast winds advecting moist Atlantic air, combined with extensive cloud cover, limit radiational cooling and maintain dew points near 75°F. This setup aligns with recent observations of daily lows in the upper 70s to low 80s amid above-normal heat indices. The closely matched market probabilities across 80–83°F bins reflect genuine uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity, which could permit modest additional cooling if convection clears earlier than expected. No major tropical systems are influencing the region at present, though updated NWS guidance ahead of the overnight period remains the key near-term catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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