Forecast models for Panama City, Panama, indicate typical late-August nocturnal conditions under the influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone, with high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers limiting radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows clustered near the long-term average of 24–25°C. Recent persistent rainfall and light variable winds have reinforced this stability, reducing the chance of either significant warming from clear skies or sharper drops from drier air masses. Market-implied odds near 49% for 25–26°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in exact minimum readings, as small differences in timing of cloud breaks or precipitation can shift the observed low by 1–2°C within the 23–27°C range, while lower probabilities for extremes align with climatological rarity outside this band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 29?
29°C or higher 98%
23°C 97%
24°C 97%
28°C 97%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
19°C or below
96%
20°C
47%
21°C
85%
22°C
93%
23°C
97%
24°C
97%
25°C
50%
26°C
50%
27°C
49%
28°C
97%
29°C or higher
98%
29°C or higher 98%
23°C 97%
24°C 97%
28°C 97%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
96%
20°C
$0 Vol.
47%
21°C
$0 Vol.
85%
22°C
$0 Vol.
93%
23°C
$0 Vol.
97%
24°C
$0 Vol.
97%
25°C
$0 Vol.
50%
26°C
$0 Vol.
50%
27°C
$0 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
97%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Panama City, Panama, indicate typical late-August nocturnal conditions under the influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone, with high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers limiting radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows clustered near the long-term average of 24–25°C. Recent persistent rainfall and light variable winds have reinforced this stability, reducing the chance of either significant warming from clear skies or sharper drops from drier air masses. Market-implied odds near 49% for 25–26°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in exact minimum readings, as small differences in timing of cloud breaks or precipitation can shift the observed low by 1–2°C within the 23–27°C range, while lower probabilities for extremes align with climatological rarity outside this band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Panama City, Panama, indicate typical late-August nocturnal conditions under the influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone, with high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers limiting radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows clustered near the long-term average of 24–25°C. Recent persistent rainfall and light variable winds have reinforced this stability, reducing the chance of either significant warming from clear skies or sharper drops from drier air masses. Market-implied odds near 49% for 25–26°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in exact minimum readings, as small differences in timing of cloud breaks or precipitation can shift the observed low by 1–2°C within the 23–27°C range, while lower probabilities for extremes align with climatological rarity outside this band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Panama City, Panama, indicate typical late-August nocturnal conditions under the influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone, with high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers limiting radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows clustered near the long-term average of 24–25°C. Recent persistent rainfall and light variable winds have reinforced this stability, reducing the chance of either significant warming from clear skies or sharper drops from drier air masses. Market-implied odds near 49% for 25–26°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in exact minimum readings, as small differences in timing of cloud breaks or precipitation can shift the observed low by 1–2°C within the 23–27°C range, while lower probabilities for extremes align with climatological rarity outside this band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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