**Latest meteorological forecasts position a 24°C daily minimum as the dominant outcome for Shanghai on September 12, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and light northeasterly winds that limit overnight cooling.** Multiple model runs, including those aligned with official guidance, converge on lows in the 22–24°C range under partly cloudy to clear skies and moderate humidity, with no active frontal systems or significant precipitation expected to alter the trajectory. This aligns with early-autumn climatology for the region, where typical minima hover near 21–23°C absent strong synoptic influences. Trader consensus, evidenced by the 88% implied probability on 24°C, incorporates these consistent model outputs and ongoing surface observations, though final resolution hinges on verified station data at the close of the 24-hour period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 12?
24°C 91%
23°C 7%
22°C 3%
21°C <1%
NEW
$15,570 Vol.
NEW
$15,570 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
91%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 91%
23°C 7%
22°C 3%
21°C <1%
NEW
$15,570 Vol.
NEW
$15,570 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
18°C or below
$185 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$99 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,713 Vol.
3%
23°C
$3,367 Vol.
7%
24°C
$6,597 Vol.
91%
25°C
$2,792 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$155 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest meteorological forecasts position a 24°C daily minimum as the dominant outcome for Shanghai on September 12, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and light northeasterly winds that limit overnight cooling.** Multiple model runs, including those aligned with official guidance, converge on lows in the 22–24°C range under partly cloudy to clear skies and moderate humidity, with no active frontal systems or significant precipitation expected to alter the trajectory. This aligns with early-autumn climatology for the region, where typical minima hover near 21–23°C absent strong synoptic influences. Trader consensus, evidenced by the 88% implied probability on 24°C, incorporates these consistent model outputs and ongoing surface observations, though final resolution hinges on verified station data at the close of the 24-hour period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$15,570End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest meteorological forecasts position a 24°C daily minimum as the dominant outcome for Shanghai on September 12, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and light northeasterly winds that limit overnight cooling.** Multiple model runs, including those aligned with official guidance, converge on lows in the 22–24°C range under partly cloudy to clear skies and moderate humidity, with no active frontal systems or significant precipitation expected to alter the trajectory. This aligns with early-autumn climatology for the region, where typical minima hover near 21–23°C absent strong synoptic influences. Trader consensus, evidenced by the 88% implied probability on 24°C, incorporates these consistent model outputs and ongoing surface observations, though final resolution hinges on verified station data at the close of the 24-hour period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,570End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest meteorological forecasts position a 24°C daily minimum as the dominant outcome for Shanghai on September 12, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and light northeasterly winds that limit overnight cooling.** Multiple model runs, including those aligned with official guidance, converge on lows in the 22–24°C range under partly cloudy to clear skies and moderate humidity, with no active frontal systems or significant precipitation expected to alter the trajectory. This aligns with early-autumn climatology for the region, where typical minima hover near 21–23°C absent strong synoptic influences. Trader consensus, evidenced by the 88% implied probability on 24°C, incorporates these consistent model outputs and ongoing surface observations, though final resolution hinges on verified station data at the close of the 24-hour period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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