Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Panama City, Florida, points to overnight lows near 25–27°C on September 13, driven by persistent warm, humid southerly flow, scattered cloud cover, and limited radiational cooling typical of late-summer Gulf Coast conditions. Ensemble forecasts show only modest diurnal ranges amid 70–85% relative humidity and light winds, keeping minimum temperatures clustered around the 26°C threshold that currently carries the highest market-implied probability. No significant frontal passages or tropical moisture surges are expected in the next 24–48 hours to alter this pattern, though small revisions in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any showers could nudge the realized low by 1°C. Historical September minima average near 24°C, providing context for the current trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 13?
30°C or higher 71%
26°C 64%
27°C 40%
22°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
6%
25°C
22%
26°C
49%
27°C
40%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C or higher
71%
30°C or higher 71%
26°C 64%
27°C 40%
22°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
20°C or below
$443 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$74 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$155 Vol.
49%
27°C
$0 Vol.
40%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C
$0 Vol.
39%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
71%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Panama City, Florida, points to overnight lows near 25–27°C on September 13, driven by persistent warm, humid southerly flow, scattered cloud cover, and limited radiational cooling typical of late-summer Gulf Coast conditions. Ensemble forecasts show only modest diurnal ranges amid 70–85% relative humidity and light winds, keeping minimum temperatures clustered around the 26°C threshold that currently carries the highest market-implied probability. No significant frontal passages or tropical moisture surges are expected in the next 24–48 hours to alter this pattern, though small revisions in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any showers could nudge the realized low by 1°C. Historical September minima average near 24°C, providing context for the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
Volume
$672End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 8:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Panama City, Florida, points to overnight lows near 25–27°C on September 13, driven by persistent warm, humid southerly flow, scattered cloud cover, and limited radiational cooling typical of late-summer Gulf Coast conditions. Ensemble forecasts show only modest diurnal ranges amid 70–85% relative humidity and light winds, keeping minimum temperatures clustered around the 26°C threshold that currently carries the highest market-implied probability. No significant frontal passages or tropical moisture surges are expected in the next 24–48 hours to alter this pattern, though small revisions in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any showers could nudge the realized low by 1°C. Historical September minima average near 24°C, providing context for the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$672End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 8:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Panama City, Florida, points to overnight lows near 25–27°C on September 13, driven by persistent warm, humid southerly flow, scattered cloud cover, and limited radiational cooling typical of late-summer Gulf Coast conditions. Ensemble forecasts show only modest diurnal ranges amid 70–85% relative humidity and light winds, keeping minimum temperatures clustered around the 26°C threshold that currently carries the highest market-implied probability. No significant frontal passages or tropical moisture surges are expected in the next 24–48 hours to alter this pattern, though small revisions in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any showers could nudge the realized low by 1°C. Historical September minima average near 24°C, providing context for the current trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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