**Current National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 11, 2026, show a daytime high in the low to mid-90s amid typical late-summer humidity and scattered afternoon thunderstorm chances.** This aligns with the market-implied near-certainty of a 94-95°F peak, as models indicate sufficient solar heating before any convection develops, consistent with the seasonal average high near 90-91°F and recent days reaching the low-to-mid 90s. Official station readings (Hobby or Intercontinental Airport) will determine the exact maximum, with heat indices potentially exceeding 100°F due to dew points in the mid-70s. Realistic challenges include earlier or stronger storm development that caps temperatures below 94°F, or localized variations pushing the official high slightly higher or lower than model consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on September 11?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 11?
94-95°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$46,429 Vol.
$46,429 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
100%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$46,429 Vol.
$46,429 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
79°F or below
$1,002 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$510 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$4,239 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$3,792 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$3,576 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$5,209 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$6,712 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$12,020 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$5,095 Vol.
100%
96-97°F
$2,647 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$1,627 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 11, 2026, show a daytime high in the low to mid-90s amid typical late-summer humidity and scattered afternoon thunderstorm chances.** This aligns with the market-implied near-certainty of a 94-95°F peak, as models indicate sufficient solar heating before any convection develops, consistent with the seasonal average high near 90-91°F and recent days reaching the low-to-mid 90s. Official station readings (Hobby or Intercontinental Airport) will determine the exact maximum, with heat indices potentially exceeding 100°F due to dew points in the mid-70s.
Realistic challenges include earlier or stronger storm development that caps temperatures below 94°F, or localized variations pushing the official high slightly higher or lower than model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$46,429End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 11, 2026, show a daytime high in the low to mid-90s amid typical late-summer humidity and scattered afternoon thunderstorm chances.** This aligns with the market-implied near-certainty of a 94-95°F peak, as models indicate sufficient solar heating before any convection develops, consistent with the seasonal average high near 90-91°F and recent days reaching the low-to-mid 90s. Official station readings (Hobby or Intercontinental Airport) will determine the exact maximum, with heat indices potentially exceeding 100°F due to dew points in the mid-70s.
Realistic challenges include earlier or stronger storm development that caps temperatures below 94°F, or localized variations pushing the official high slightly higher or lower than model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46,429End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on September 11, 2026, show a daytime high in the low to mid-90s amid typical late-summer humidity and scattered afternoon thunderstorm chances.** This aligns with the market-implied near-certainty of a 94-95°F peak, as models indicate sufficient solar heating before any convection develops, consistent with the seasonal average high near 90-91°F and recent days reaching the low-to-mid 90s. Official station readings (Hobby or Intercontinental Airport) will determine the exact maximum, with heat indices potentially exceeding 100°F due to dew points in the mid-70s. Realistic challenges include earlier or stronger storm development that caps temperatures below 94°F, or localized variations pushing the official high slightly higher or lower than model consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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