**Trader consensus for Houston's September 12 high centers on the mid-90s, with 94–97°F capturing over 70% of implied probability.** Official forecasts from sources like the National Weather Service and WeatherBug highlight sunny to partly cloudy conditions, south winds of 5–10 mph, and abundant Gulf moisture supporting afternoon highs in the mid-90s, with heat indices near 105°F. This aligns with late-summer climatology where average highs reach about 90°F, but recent model runs show limited cloud cover or storms to suppress temperatures below 94°F. Afternoon convection remains possible yet insufficient to prevent readings in the 94–97°F range at official stations. Lower-probability outcomes below 92°F or above 98°F reflect uncertainty in exact steering patterns and localized heating, with no major tropical influences altering the setup. Updated National Weather Service guidance and real-time observations will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on September 12?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 12?
94-95°F 40%
96-97°F 30%
92-93°F 24%
98-99°F 3.0%
NEW
$22,836 Vol.
NEW
$22,836 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
24%
94-95°F
40%
96-97°F
30%
98-99°F
3%
100°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 40%
96-97°F 30%
92-93°F 24%
98-99°F 3.0%
NEW
$22,836 Vol.
NEW
$22,836 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
81°F or below
$1,384 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$620 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$438 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$435 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$1,059 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$3,402 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$5,108 Vol.
24%
94-95°F
$2,938 Vol.
40%
96-97°F
$5,511 Vol.
30%
98-99°F
$1,577 Vol.
3%
100°F or higher
$364 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus for Houston's September 12 high centers on the mid-90s, with 94–97°F capturing over 70% of implied probability.** Official forecasts from sources like the National Weather Service and WeatherBug highlight sunny to partly cloudy conditions, south winds of 5–10 mph, and abundant Gulf moisture supporting afternoon highs in the mid-90s, with heat indices near 105°F. This aligns with late-summer climatology where average highs reach about 90°F, but recent model runs show limited cloud cover or storms to suppress temperatures below 94°F. Afternoon convection remains possible yet insufficient to prevent readings in the 94–97°F range at official stations. Lower-probability outcomes below 92°F or above 98°F reflect uncertainty in exact steering patterns and localized heating, with no major tropical influences altering the setup. Updated National Weather Service guidance and real-time observations will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$22,836End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus for Houston's September 12 high centers on the mid-90s, with 94–97°F capturing over 70% of implied probability.** Official forecasts from sources like the National Weather Service and WeatherBug highlight sunny to partly cloudy conditions, south winds of 5–10 mph, and abundant Gulf moisture supporting afternoon highs in the mid-90s, with heat indices near 105°F. This aligns with late-summer climatology where average highs reach about 90°F, but recent model runs show limited cloud cover or storms to suppress temperatures below 94°F. Afternoon convection remains possible yet insufficient to prevent readings in the 94–97°F range at official stations. Lower-probability outcomes below 92°F or above 98°F reflect uncertainty in exact steering patterns and localized heating, with no major tropical influences altering the setup. Updated National Weather Service guidance and real-time observations will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,836End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus for Houston's September 12 high centers on the mid-90s, with 94–97°F capturing over 70% of implied probability.** Official forecasts from sources like the National Weather Service and WeatherBug highlight sunny to partly cloudy conditions, south winds of 5–10 mph, and abundant Gulf moisture supporting afternoon highs in the mid-90s, with heat indices near 105°F. This aligns with late-summer climatology where average highs reach about 90°F, but recent model runs show limited cloud cover or storms to suppress temperatures below 94°F. Afternoon convection remains possible yet insufficient to prevent readings in the 94–97°F range at official stations. Lower-probability outcomes below 92°F or above 98°F reflect uncertainty in exact steering patterns and localized heating, with no major tropical influences altering the setup. Updated National Weather Service guidance and real-time observations will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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