Current ensemble forecasts from NOAA and supporting models indicate a September 13 high temperature for Los Angeles most likely in the 78–81°F range, driven by typical late-summer onshore flow, morning marine-layer stratus that clears to sunny skies, and moderate southwest winds limiting afternoon heating. This consensus matches mid-September climatology, where average daily maxima near 76°F show modest day-to-day variability without major high-pressure or heat-wave intrusions. Trader-implied probabilities weighting 78–79°F and 80–81°F highest reflect the narrow spread across guidance, with lower odds on outliers above 82°F or below 76°F. Fresh model runs and observational updates through tomorrow morning will further narrow resolution criteria tied to official Los Angeles station readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 13?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 13?
78-79°F 45%
80-81°F 32%
76-77°F 16%
82-83°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
45%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
2%
78-79°F 45%
80-81°F 32%
76-77°F 16%
82-83°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
67°F or below
$250 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$253 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$230 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$166 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$183 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$1,151 Vol.
16%
78-79°F
$857 Vol.
45%
80-81°F
$1,561 Vol.
32%
82-83°F
$210 Vol.
4%
84-85°F
$179 Vol.
2%
86°F or higher
$422 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from NOAA and supporting models indicate a September 13 high temperature for Los Angeles most likely in the 78–81°F range, driven by typical late-summer onshore flow, morning marine-layer stratus that clears to sunny skies, and moderate southwest winds limiting afternoon heating. This consensus matches mid-September climatology, where average daily maxima near 76°F show modest day-to-day variability without major high-pressure or heat-wave intrusions. Trader-implied probabilities weighting 78–79°F and 80–81°F highest reflect the narrow spread across guidance, with lower odds on outliers above 82°F or below 76°F. Fresh model runs and observational updates through tomorrow morning will further narrow resolution criteria tied to official Los Angeles station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,461End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from NOAA and supporting models indicate a September 13 high temperature for Los Angeles most likely in the 78–81°F range, driven by typical late-summer onshore flow, morning marine-layer stratus that clears to sunny skies, and moderate southwest winds limiting afternoon heating. This consensus matches mid-September climatology, where average daily maxima near 76°F show modest day-to-day variability without major high-pressure or heat-wave intrusions. Trader-implied probabilities weighting 78–79°F and 80–81°F highest reflect the narrow spread across guidance, with lower odds on outliers above 82°F or below 76°F. Fresh model runs and observational updates through tomorrow morning will further narrow resolution criteria tied to official Los Angeles station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,461End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from NOAA and supporting models indicate a September 13 high temperature for Los Angeles most likely in the 78–81°F range, driven by typical late-summer onshore flow, morning marine-layer stratus that clears to sunny skies, and moderate southwest winds limiting afternoon heating. This consensus matches mid-September climatology, where average daily maxima near 76°F show modest day-to-day variability without major high-pressure or heat-wave intrusions. Trader-implied probabilities weighting 78–79°F and 80–81°F highest reflect the narrow spread across guidance, with lower odds on outliers above 82°F or below 76°F. Fresh model runs and observational updates through tomorrow morning will further narrow resolution criteria tied to official Los Angeles station readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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