Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a high near 31°C for Wuhan on September 12 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This positions the 31°C outcome as the market leader, supported by consistent model runs showing peak afternoon temperatures in the 30–32°C range amid stable high pressure and typical early-autumn humidity levels around 50%. Seasonal baselines for the region align with these readings, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact maximum within the narrow 30–32°C band that holds over 95% of implied probability. Updated observations through midday will refine the final recorded high for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 12?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 12?
31°C 56%
30°C 25%
32°C 17%
29°C 4%
NEW
$28,333 Vol.
NEW
$28,333 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
25%
31°C
56%
32°C
17%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 56%
30°C 25%
32°C 17%
29°C 4%
NEW
$28,333 Vol.
NEW
$28,333 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
$1,245 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$744 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$835 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,476 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,363 Vol.
4%
30°C
$6,836 Vol.
25%
31°C
$5,441 Vol.
56%
32°C
$3,551 Vol.
17%
33°C
$1,457 Vol.
3%
34°C
$1,124 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$2,260 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a high near 31°C for Wuhan on September 12 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This positions the 31°C outcome as the market leader, supported by consistent model runs showing peak afternoon temperatures in the 30–32°C range amid stable high pressure and typical early-autumn humidity levels around 50%. Seasonal baselines for the region align with these readings, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact maximum within the narrow 30–32°C band that holds over 95% of implied probability. Updated observations through midday will refine the final recorded high for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$28,333End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a high near 31°C for Wuhan on September 12 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This positions the 31°C outcome as the market leader, supported by consistent model runs showing peak afternoon temperatures in the 30–32°C range amid stable high pressure and typical early-autumn humidity levels around 50%. Seasonal baselines for the region align with these readings, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact maximum within the narrow 30–32°C band that holds over 95% of implied probability. Updated observations through midday will refine the final recorded high for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,333End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a high near 31°C for Wuhan on September 12 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This positions the 31°C outcome as the market leader, supported by consistent model runs showing peak afternoon temperatures in the 30–32°C range amid stable high pressure and typical early-autumn humidity levels around 50%. Seasonal baselines for the region align with these readings, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact maximum within the narrow 30–32°C band that holds over 95% of implied probability. Updated observations through midday will refine the final recorded high for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions