Forecast consensus from regional models points to a daily maximum of 31–34 °C in Wuhan on September 13 under mostly sunny skies, light northerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, placing the market’s 33 °C outcome at the center of implied probability. Subtropical high pressure and seasonal radiative heating typical of mid-September support afternoon peaks in this range, consistent with recent observations of clear conditions and dew points in the low 20s °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited model divergence on boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover that could trim or boost the peak by 1–2 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the narrow 32–34 °C band most heavily ahead of final observational confirmation from local meteorological stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 13?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 13?
33°C 46%
32°C 28%
34°C 13%
31°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
28%
33°C
46%
34°C
13%
35°C
3%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 46%
32°C 28%
34°C 13%
31°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
27°C or below
$31 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$32 Vol.
1%
30°C
$185 Vol.
2%
31°C
$996 Vol.
6%
32°C
$903 Vol.
28%
33°C
$2,404 Vol.
46%
34°C
$599 Vol.
13%
35°C
$203 Vol.
3%
36°C
$0 Vol.
3%
37°C or higher
$193 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from regional models points to a daily maximum of 31–34 °C in Wuhan on September 13 under mostly sunny skies, light northerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, placing the market’s 33 °C outcome at the center of implied probability. Subtropical high pressure and seasonal radiative heating typical of mid-September support afternoon peaks in this range, consistent with recent observations of clear conditions and dew points in the low 20s °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited model divergence on boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover that could trim or boost the peak by 1–2 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the narrow 32–34 °C band most heavily ahead of final observational confirmation from local meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$5,546End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from regional models points to a daily maximum of 31–34 °C in Wuhan on September 13 under mostly sunny skies, light northerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, placing the market’s 33 °C outcome at the center of implied probability. Subtropical high pressure and seasonal radiative heating typical of mid-September support afternoon peaks in this range, consistent with recent observations of clear conditions and dew points in the low 20s °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited model divergence on boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover that could trim or boost the peak by 1–2 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the narrow 32–34 °C band most heavily ahead of final observational confirmation from local meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,546End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from regional models points to a daily maximum of 31–34 °C in Wuhan on September 13 under mostly sunny skies, light northerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, placing the market’s 33 °C outcome at the center of implied probability. Subtropical high pressure and seasonal radiative heating typical of mid-September support afternoon peaks in this range, consistent with recent observations of clear conditions and dew points in the low 20s °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with limited model divergence on boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover that could trim or boost the peak by 1–2 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the narrow 32–34 °C band most heavily ahead of final observational confirmation from local meteorological stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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