**Trader consensus has converged on 102-103°F as the highest temperature in Austin on September 11, 2026, reflecting verified observational data from local weather stations showing a daily maximum of 102°F under mostly sunny skies with southerly winds and high humidity.** This outcome aligns with late-summer climatology, where Austin averages around 92°F for the date but frequently reaches triple digits during heat waves, as confirmed by multiple real-time reports and historical records noting 102°F as the all-time high for September 11. Market-implied odds near 100% indicate strong alignment between trader assessments and the observed conditions, with minimal uncertainty once preliminary climate data became available. Resolution would shift only if official NOAA or NWS station records—factoring precise siting and measurement protocols—ultimately differ by a degree or more due to localized effects, though current evidence makes that improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on September 11?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 11?
102-103°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$30,554 Vol.
$30,554 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
100%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
102-103°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$30,554 Vol.
$30,554 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
87°F or below
$822 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$586 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$447 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$503 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$380 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,735 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$2,950 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$14,228 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$5,562 Vol.
100%
104-105°F
$2,555 Vol.
<1%
106°F or higher
$785 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 102-103°F as the highest temperature in Austin on September 11, 2026, reflecting verified observational data from local weather stations showing a daily maximum of 102°F under mostly sunny skies with southerly winds and high humidity.** This outcome aligns with late-summer climatology, where Austin averages around 92°F for the date but frequently reaches triple digits during heat waves, as confirmed by multiple real-time reports and historical records noting 102°F as the all-time high for September 11. Market-implied odds near 100% indicate strong alignment between trader assessments and the observed conditions, with minimal uncertainty once preliminary climate data became available. Resolution would shift only if official NOAA or NWS station records—factoring precise siting and measurement protocols—ultimately differ by a degree or more due to localized effects, though current evidence makes that improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$30,554End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 102-103°F as the highest temperature in Austin on September 11, 2026, reflecting verified observational data from local weather stations showing a daily maximum of 102°F under mostly sunny skies with southerly winds and high humidity.** This outcome aligns with late-summer climatology, where Austin averages around 92°F for the date but frequently reaches triple digits during heat waves, as confirmed by multiple real-time reports and historical records noting 102°F as the all-time high for September 11. Market-implied odds near 100% indicate strong alignment between trader assessments and the observed conditions, with minimal uncertainty once preliminary climate data became available. Resolution would shift only if official NOAA or NWS station records—factoring precise siting and measurement protocols—ultimately differ by a degree or more due to localized effects, though current evidence makes that improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,554End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged on 102-103°F as the highest temperature in Austin on September 11, 2026, reflecting verified observational data from local weather stations showing a daily maximum of 102°F under mostly sunny skies with southerly winds and high humidity.** This outcome aligns with late-summer climatology, where Austin averages around 92°F for the date but frequently reaches triple digits during heat waves, as confirmed by multiple real-time reports and historical records noting 102°F as the all-time high for September 11. Market-implied odds near 100% indicate strong alignment between trader assessments and the observed conditions, with minimal uncertainty once preliminary climate data became available. Resolution would shift only if official NOAA or NWS station records—factoring precise siting and measurement protocols—ultimately differ by a degree or more due to localized effects, though current evidence makes that improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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