Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate an overnight low near 25°C on September 12 amid typical rainy-season conditions, with persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-90%, and light winds limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with September climatology of 24°C average minima and supports the market's strong consensus around 25-26°C. Global models show little deviation from these values, as the Intertropical Convergence Zone maintains steady moisture and suppresses larger temperature swings, while no significant frontal systems or drier air intrusions are expected. Updated guidance on September 11 reinforces this narrow range, with any shifts likely tied to the next model cycle or local observations rather than major pattern changes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 12?
26°C 68%
24°C 37%
25°C 28%
27°C 24%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
6%
23°C
22%
24°C
37%
25°C
28%
26°C
68%
27°C
24%
28°C
16%
29°C
14%
30°C or higher
15%
26°C 68%
24°C 37%
25°C 28%
27°C 24%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
20°C or below
$41 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$6 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
6%
23°C
$0 Vol.
22%
24°C
$0 Vol.
37%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$185 Vol.
68%
27°C
$0 Vol.
24%
28°C
$0 Vol.
16%
29°C
$0 Vol.
14%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate an overnight low near 25°C on September 12 amid typical rainy-season conditions, with persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-90%, and light winds limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with September climatology of 24°C average minima and supports the market's strong consensus around 25-26°C. Global models show little deviation from these values, as the Intertropical Convergence Zone maintains steady moisture and suppresses larger temperature swings, while no significant frontal systems or drier air intrusions are expected. Updated guidance on September 11 reinforces this narrow range, with any shifts likely tied to the next model cycle or local observations rather than major pattern changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$232End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate an overnight low near 25°C on September 12 amid typical rainy-season conditions, with persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-90%, and light winds limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with September climatology of 24°C average minima and supports the market's strong consensus around 25-26°C. Global models show little deviation from these values, as the Intertropical Convergence Zone maintains steady moisture and suppresses larger temperature swings, while no significant frontal systems or drier air intrusions are expected. Updated guidance on September 11 reinforces this narrow range, with any shifts likely tied to the next model cycle or local observations rather than major pattern changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$232End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate an overnight low near 25°C on September 12 amid typical rainy-season conditions, with persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-90%, and light winds limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with September climatology of 24°C average minima and supports the market's strong consensus around 25-26°C. Global models show little deviation from these values, as the Intertropical Convergence Zone maintains steady moisture and suppresses larger temperature swings, while no significant frontal systems or drier air intrusions are expected. Updated guidance on September 11 reinforces this narrow range, with any shifts likely tied to the next model cycle or local observations rather than major pattern changes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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