Recent weather models for Panama City, Panama, point to a daily maximum near 32°C on September 12, driven by typical rainy-season atmospheric conditions with high humidity and scattered convection. Official climatological averages place September highs around 30°C, but current forecasts from sources like The Weather Network show potential for 32°C under partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon heating suppression from brief showers. Market-implied odds favor 32°C at 52% because recent model runs show modest warming potential from reduced cloud cover, while the 23.5% chance of 33°C or higher reflects uncertainty in convective timing and any late-day clearing that could allow additional insolation. Lower outcomes remain discounted given the established seasonal baseline and lack of significant cooling fronts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 12?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 12?
32°C 53%
33°C or higher 24%
31°C 19%
30°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
19%
32°C
53%
33°C or higher
24%
32°C 53%
33°C or higher 24%
31°C 19%
30°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
23°C or below
$161 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$173 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$173 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$193 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$75 Vol.
1%
29°C
$323 Vol.
2%
30°C
$309 Vol.
4%
31°C
$244 Vol.
19%
32°C
$907 Vol.
53%
33°C or higher
$1,400 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather models for Panama City, Panama, point to a daily maximum near 32°C on September 12, driven by typical rainy-season atmospheric conditions with high humidity and scattered convection. Official climatological averages place September highs around 30°C, but current forecasts from sources like The Weather Network show potential for 32°C under partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon heating suppression from brief showers. Market-implied odds favor 32°C at 52% because recent model runs show modest warming potential from reduced cloud cover, while the 23.5% chance of 33°C or higher reflects uncertainty in convective timing and any late-day clearing that could allow additional insolation. Lower outcomes remain discounted given the established seasonal baseline and lack of significant cooling fronts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,127End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather models for Panama City, Panama, point to a daily maximum near 32°C on September 12, driven by typical rainy-season atmospheric conditions with high humidity and scattered convection. Official climatological averages place September highs around 30°C, but current forecasts from sources like The Weather Network show potential for 32°C under partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon heating suppression from brief showers. Market-implied odds favor 32°C at 52% because recent model runs show modest warming potential from reduced cloud cover, while the 23.5% chance of 33°C or higher reflects uncertainty in convective timing and any late-day clearing that could allow additional insolation. Lower outcomes remain discounted given the established seasonal baseline and lack of significant cooling fronts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,127End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather models for Panama City, Panama, point to a daily maximum near 32°C on September 12, driven by typical rainy-season atmospheric conditions with high humidity and scattered convection. Official climatological averages place September highs around 30°C, but current forecasts from sources like The Weather Network show potential for 32°C under partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon heating suppression from brief showers. Market-implied odds favor 32°C at 52% because recent model runs show modest warming potential from reduced cloud cover, while the 23.5% chance of 33°C or higher reflects uncertainty in convective timing and any late-day clearing that could allow additional insolation. Lower outcomes remain discounted given the established seasonal baseline and lack of significant cooling fronts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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