The overwhelming market consensus on 32°C as Panama City's highest temperature on September 11 reflects official observational data confirming that peak reading amid typical late wet-season conditions. Regional climate patterns in the area, driven by high humidity, sea surface temperatures near 29–30°C, and diurnal heating, commonly produce afternoon maxima in the low 30s Celsius before convective storms develop. Model guidance and historical baselines for early September align with this outcome, with limited day-to-day variability once the daily cycle is established. A realistic challenge would require revised station data, an unusually strong early-morning cooling event, or a shift in measurement methodology, though the tight clustering of trader positions indicates high confidence in the verified record.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 11?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 11?
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$26,853 Vol.
$26,853 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$26,853 Vol.
$26,853 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
24°C or below
$164 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$166 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$290 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$66 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$488 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$687 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,576 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$8,355 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$4,971 Vol.
100%
33°C
$8,498 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,592 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The overwhelming market consensus on 32°C as Panama City's highest temperature on September 11 reflects official observational data confirming that peak reading amid typical late wet-season conditions. Regional climate patterns in the area, driven by high humidity, sea surface temperatures near 29–30°C, and diurnal heating, commonly produce afternoon maxima in the low 30s Celsius before convective storms develop. Model guidance and historical baselines for early September align with this outcome, with limited day-to-day variability once the daily cycle is established. A realistic challenge would require revised station data, an unusually strong early-morning cooling event, or a shift in measurement methodology, though the tight clustering of trader positions indicates high confidence in the verified record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$26,853End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The overwhelming market consensus on 32°C as Panama City's highest temperature on September 11 reflects official observational data confirming that peak reading amid typical late wet-season conditions. Regional climate patterns in the area, driven by high humidity, sea surface temperatures near 29–30°C, and diurnal heating, commonly produce afternoon maxima in the low 30s Celsius before convective storms develop. Model guidance and historical baselines for early September align with this outcome, with limited day-to-day variability once the daily cycle is established. A realistic challenge would require revised station data, an unusually strong early-morning cooling event, or a shift in measurement methodology, though the tight clustering of trader positions indicates high confidence in the verified record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26,853End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The overwhelming market consensus on 32°C as Panama City's highest temperature on September 11 reflects official observational data confirming that peak reading amid typical late wet-season conditions. Regional climate patterns in the area, driven by high humidity, sea surface temperatures near 29–30°C, and diurnal heating, commonly produce afternoon maxima in the low 30s Celsius before convective storms develop. Model guidance and historical baselines for early September align with this outcome, with limited day-to-day variability once the daily cycle is established. A realistic challenge would require revised station data, an unusually strong early-morning cooling event, or a shift in measurement methodology, though the tight clustering of trader positions indicates high confidence in the verified record.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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