Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international agencies indicate Ankara highs of 27–29°C on August 31 under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, following a cooler, showery period on August 29 driven by a transient trough. Primary drivers include strong daytime solar insolation at the city’s ~900 m elevation, minimal cloud cover allowing efficient surface heating, and stable high-pressure ridging that suppresses vertical mixing and precipitation. Ensemble spread arises from minor differences in predicted boundary-layer moisture and wind speed, which can shift peak temperatures by 2–3°C; historical late-August climatology (mean high ~29°C) anchors the central outcomes while limiting tail probabilities for extremes below 25°C or above 30°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 31?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 31?
28°C 44%
29°C 32%
27°C 22%
25°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
4%
25°C
17%
26°C
10%
27°C
22%
28°C
42%
29°C
32%
30°C
5%
31°C
7%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 44%
29°C 32%
27°C 22%
25°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
25°C
$0 Vol.
17%
26°C
$0 Vol.
10%
27°C
$10 Vol.
22%
28°C
$2 Vol.
42%
29°C
$0 Vol.
32%
30°C
$0 Vol.
5%
31°C
$0 Vol.
7%
32°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international agencies indicate Ankara highs of 27–29°C on August 31 under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, following a cooler, showery period on August 29 driven by a transient trough. Primary drivers include strong daytime solar insolation at the city’s ~900 m elevation, minimal cloud cover allowing efficient surface heating, and stable high-pressure ridging that suppresses vertical mixing and precipitation. Ensemble spread arises from minor differences in predicted boundary-layer moisture and wind speed, which can shift peak temperatures by 2–3°C; historical late-August climatology (mean high ~29°C) anchors the central outcomes while limiting tail probabilities for extremes below 25°C or above 30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$12End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international agencies indicate Ankara highs of 27–29°C on August 31 under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, following a cooler, showery period on August 29 driven by a transient trough. Primary drivers include strong daytime solar insolation at the city’s ~900 m elevation, minimal cloud cover allowing efficient surface heating, and stable high-pressure ridging that suppresses vertical mixing and precipitation. Ensemble spread arises from minor differences in predicted boundary-layer moisture and wind speed, which can shift peak temperatures by 2–3°C; historical late-August climatology (mean high ~29°C) anchors the central outcomes while limiting tail probabilities for extremes below 25°C or above 30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international agencies indicate Ankara highs of 27–29°C on August 31 under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, following a cooler, showery period on August 29 driven by a transient trough. Primary drivers include strong daytime solar insolation at the city’s ~900 m elevation, minimal cloud cover allowing efficient surface heating, and stable high-pressure ridging that suppresses vertical mixing and precipitation. Ensemble spread arises from minor differences in predicted boundary-layer moisture and wind speed, which can shift peak temperatures by 2–3°C; historical late-August climatology (mean high ~29°C) anchors the central outcomes while limiting tail probabilities for extremes below 25°C or above 30°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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