Recent forecasts for Ankara on August 30 show highs clustered between 24–28°C across sources like the Met Office, PredictWind, and ensemble models, with recent cooling from earlier August peaks near 32°C driving the even 25% probabilities on 23–27°C outcomes. Northerly flow, variable cloud cover, and diurnal heating patterns introduce spread in peak timing and intensity, while historical late-summer variability around the 27°C climatological average supports the low odds on extremes. Traders appear to price genuine short-term forecast uncertainty rather than a single consensus value, with upcoming model runs likely to sharpen resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
25°C 50%
26°C 32%
24°C 23%
23°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
6%
22°C
7%
23°C
9%
24°C
23%
25°C
43%
26°C
32%
27°C
9%
28°C
4%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
2%
25°C 50%
26°C 32%
24°C 23%
23°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
6%
22°C
$0 Vol.
7%
23°C
$0 Vol.
9%
24°C
$6 Vol.
23%
25°C
$2 Vol.
43%
26°C
$0 Vol.
32%
27°C
$0 Vol.
9%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Ankara on August 30 show highs clustered between 24–28°C across sources like the Met Office, PredictWind, and ensemble models, with recent cooling from earlier August peaks near 32°C driving the even 25% probabilities on 23–27°C outcomes. Northerly flow, variable cloud cover, and diurnal heating patterns introduce spread in peak timing and intensity, while historical late-summer variability around the 27°C climatological average supports the low odds on extremes. Traders appear to price genuine short-term forecast uncertainty rather than a single consensus value, with upcoming model runs likely to sharpen resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$8End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Ankara on August 30 show highs clustered between 24–28°C across sources like the Met Office, PredictWind, and ensemble models, with recent cooling from earlier August peaks near 32°C driving the even 25% probabilities on 23–27°C outcomes. Northerly flow, variable cloud cover, and diurnal heating patterns introduce spread in peak timing and intensity, while historical late-summer variability around the 27°C climatological average supports the low odds on extremes. Traders appear to price genuine short-term forecast uncertainty rather than a single consensus value, with upcoming model runs likely to sharpen resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Ankara on August 30 show highs clustered between 24–28°C across sources like the Met Office, PredictWind, and ensemble models, with recent cooling from earlier August peaks near 32°C driving the even 25% probabilities on 23–27°C outcomes. Northerly flow, variable cloud cover, and diurnal heating patterns introduce spread in peak timing and intensity, while historical late-summer variability around the 27°C climatological average supports the low odds on extremes. Traders appear to price genuine short-term forecast uncertainty rather than a single consensus value, with upcoming model runs likely to sharpen resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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