Weather forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Turkey's meteorological service currently point to a maximum near 23°C in Ankara on August 29, supported by a transient high-pressure system and moderate northerly flow that limits daytime heating. Ensemble runs place the highest probabilities on 22–24°C outcomes, aligning with late-summer climatology while reflecting recent model consensus on minimal advection of warmer air masses. Official station observations will determine resolution, and the narrow spread in guidance explains why these values dominate implied probabilities; any late shift in boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover could adjust the final reading within the typical one-degree forecast uncertainty range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 29?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 29?
23°C 36%
24°C 23%
22°C 20%
21°C or below 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
9%
22°C
20%
23°C
36%
24°C
23%
25°C
6%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
23°C 36%
24°C 23%
22°C 20%
21°C or below 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
$899 Vol.
9%
22°C
$814 Vol.
20%
23°C
$969 Vol.
36%
24°C
$1,312 Vol.
23%
25°C
$377 Vol.
6%
26°C
$151 Vol.
4%
27°C
$5 Vol.
2%
28°C
$92 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$214 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$276 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$276 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Weather forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Turkey's meteorological service currently point to a maximum near 23°C in Ankara on August 29, supported by a transient high-pressure system and moderate northerly flow that limits daytime heating. Ensemble runs place the highest probabilities on 22–24°C outcomes, aligning with late-summer climatology while reflecting recent model consensus on minimal advection of warmer air masses. Official station observations will determine resolution, and the narrow spread in guidance explains why these values dominate implied probabilities; any late shift in boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover could adjust the final reading within the typical one-degree forecast uncertainty range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,384End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Weather forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Turkey's meteorological service currently point to a maximum near 23°C in Ankara on August 29, supported by a transient high-pressure system and moderate northerly flow that limits daytime heating. Ensemble runs place the highest probabilities on 22–24°C outcomes, aligning with late-summer climatology while reflecting recent model consensus on minimal advection of warmer air masses. Official station observations will determine resolution, and the narrow spread in guidance explains why these values dominate implied probabilities; any late shift in boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover could adjust the final reading within the typical one-degree forecast uncertainty range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,384End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Weather forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Turkey's meteorological service currently point to a maximum near 23°C in Ankara on August 29, supported by a transient high-pressure system and moderate northerly flow that limits daytime heating. Ensemble runs place the highest probabilities on 22–24°C outcomes, aligning with late-summer climatology while reflecting recent model consensus on minimal advection of warmer air masses. Official station observations will determine resolution, and the narrow spread in guidance explains why these values dominate implied probabilities; any late shift in boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover could adjust the final reading within the typical one-degree forecast uncertainty range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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