Recent thunderstorm development and associated cloud cover represent the dominant driver moderating peak temperatures in Ankara today, with official forecasts from the Turkish Meteorological Service and global models converging on a maximum of 26–28°C. Afternoon convection, fueled by unstable atmospheric conditions and northerly flow, is expected to reduce insolation and introduce evaporative cooling, preventing the higher readings typical of late-August climatology near 30°C. Market-implied odds favoring 27°C at 40% and 26°C at 30.5% capture this balance between residual morning heating and storm timing, while lower probabilities for 28°C or above reflect uncertainty in exact storm onset and intensity. Updated model runs and real-time observations will refine resolution criteria as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 28?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 28?
27°C 41%
26°C 31%
28°C 18%
25°C 10%
$20,341 Vol.
$20,341 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
10%
26°C
31%
27°C
41%
28°C
18%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 41%
26°C 31%
28°C 18%
25°C 10%
$20,341 Vol.
$20,341 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
23°C or below
$162 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,014 Vol.
2%
25°C
$3,724 Vol.
10%
26°C
$4,917 Vol.
31%
27°C
$5,231 Vol.
41%
28°C
$2,609 Vol.
18%
29°C
$1,020 Vol.
3%
30°C
$987 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$280 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$275 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$122 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent thunderstorm development and associated cloud cover represent the dominant driver moderating peak temperatures in Ankara today, with official forecasts from the Turkish Meteorological Service and global models converging on a maximum of 26–28°C. Afternoon convection, fueled by unstable atmospheric conditions and northerly flow, is expected to reduce insolation and introduce evaporative cooling, preventing the higher readings typical of late-August climatology near 30°C. Market-implied odds favoring 27°C at 40% and 26°C at 30.5% capture this balance between residual morning heating and storm timing, while lower probabilities for 28°C or above reflect uncertainty in exact storm onset and intensity. Updated model runs and real-time observations will refine resolution criteria as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$20,341End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent thunderstorm development and associated cloud cover represent the dominant driver moderating peak temperatures in Ankara today, with official forecasts from the Turkish Meteorological Service and global models converging on a maximum of 26–28°C. Afternoon convection, fueled by unstable atmospheric conditions and northerly flow, is expected to reduce insolation and introduce evaporative cooling, preventing the higher readings typical of late-August climatology near 30°C. Market-implied odds favoring 27°C at 40% and 26°C at 30.5% capture this balance between residual morning heating and storm timing, while lower probabilities for 28°C or above reflect uncertainty in exact storm onset and intensity. Updated model runs and real-time observations will refine resolution criteria as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,341End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent thunderstorm development and associated cloud cover represent the dominant driver moderating peak temperatures in Ankara today, with official forecasts from the Turkish Meteorological Service and global models converging on a maximum of 26–28°C. Afternoon convection, fueled by unstable atmospheric conditions and northerly flow, is expected to reduce insolation and introduce evaporative cooling, preventing the higher readings typical of late-August climatology near 30°C. Market-implied odds favoring 27°C at 40% and 26°C at 30.5% capture this balance between residual morning heating and storm timing, while lower probabilities for 28°C or above reflect uncertainty in exact storm onset and intensity. Updated model runs and real-time observations will refine resolution criteria as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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