**Forecast models for Ankara on August 28, 2026, point to an overnight low in the 13–16°C range, with trader odds tightly clustered around 13–15°C because small differences in rain timing, cloud cover, and wind speed can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C.** Afternoon and evening thunderstorms, driven by daytime heating and northwest flow, increase humidity and limit radiative cooling after sunset, while scattered showers overnight add further moderation through evaporative effects. Official guidance from regional models shows dew points near 11–13°C and light northerly winds, conditions that historically produce minima close to the 14–15°C climatological average for late August at Ankara’s elevation (~900 m). The near-even probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in the precise hour of minimum temperature and local station variations (e.g., Esenboğa Airport observations), rather than any single dominant outcome. New model runs or updated observations through the night remain the key near-term drivers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 28?
12°C 89%
15°C 49%
14°C 48%
13°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
5%
12°C
89%
13°C
48%
14°C
48%
15°C
49%
16°C
48%
17°C
47%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
12°C 89%
15°C 49%
14°C 48%
13°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
10°C or below
$146 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$306 Vol.
5%
12°C
$77 Vol.
89%
13°C
$2 Vol.
48%
14°C
$0 Vol.
48%
15°C
$0 Vol.
49%
16°C
$5 Vol.
48%
17°C
$20 Vol.
47%
18°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$98 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Ankara on August 28, 2026, point to an overnight low in the 13–16°C range, with trader odds tightly clustered around 13–15°C because small differences in rain timing, cloud cover, and wind speed can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C.**
Afternoon and evening thunderstorms, driven by daytime heating and northwest flow, increase humidity and limit radiative cooling after sunset, while scattered showers overnight add further moderation through evaporative effects. Official guidance from regional models shows dew points near 11–13°C and light northerly winds, conditions that historically produce minima close to the 14–15°C climatological average for late August at Ankara’s elevation (~900 m).
The near-even probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in the precise hour of minimum temperature and local station variations (e.g., Esenboğa Airport observations), rather than any single dominant outcome. New model runs or updated observations through the night remain the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$806End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Ankara on August 28, 2026, point to an overnight low in the 13–16°C range, with trader odds tightly clustered around 13–15°C because small differences in rain timing, cloud cover, and wind speed can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C.**
Afternoon and evening thunderstorms, driven by daytime heating and northwest flow, increase humidity and limit radiative cooling after sunset, while scattered showers overnight add further moderation through evaporative effects. Official guidance from regional models shows dew points near 11–13°C and light northerly winds, conditions that historically produce minima close to the 14–15°C climatological average for late August at Ankara’s elevation (~900 m).
The near-even probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in the precise hour of minimum temperature and local station variations (e.g., Esenboğa Airport observations), rather than any single dominant outcome. New model runs or updated observations through the night remain the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$806End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Ankara on August 28, 2026, point to an overnight low in the 13–16°C range, with trader odds tightly clustered around 13–15°C because small differences in rain timing, cloud cover, and wind speed can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C.** Afternoon and evening thunderstorms, driven by daytime heating and northwest flow, increase humidity and limit radiative cooling after sunset, while scattered showers overnight add further moderation through evaporative effects. Official guidance from regional models shows dew points near 11–13°C and light northerly winds, conditions that historically produce minima close to the 14–15°C climatological average for late August at Ankara’s elevation (~900 m). The near-even probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in the precise hour of minimum temperature and local station variations (e.g., Esenboğa Airport observations), rather than any single dominant outcome. New model runs or updated observations through the night remain the key near-term drivers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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