Strong high pressure building over the southern Plains is steering the market toward 100-101°F as the leading outcome for Dallas on September 13, with NWS and private model guidance converging on highs near 101–102°F under mostly sunny skies and south winds of 5–10 mph. Clear conditions and above-average dew points supporting heat indices above 105°F favor peak afternoon readings in this range, consistent with the ongoing late-summer pattern of triple-digit heat amid a prolonged dry spell. Minor model spread keeps 98-99°F and 102-103°F as secondary possibilities, while the low probability assigned to 104°F+ reflects limited upside potential without unexpected changes in steering flow or moisture. Updated National Weather Service briefings and next model runs will refine these implied probabilities ahead of the observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on September 13?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 13?
100-101°F 64%
98-99°F 27%
102-103°F 8%
96-97°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
27%
100-101°F
64%
102-103°F
8%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
2%
108°F or higher
2%
100-101°F 64%
98-99°F 27%
102-103°F 8%
96-97°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
89°F or below
$103 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$128 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$50 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$34 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$54 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$2,896 Vol.
27%
100-101°F
$963 Vol.
64%
102-103°F
$171 Vol.
8%
104-105°F
$75 Vol.
3%
106-107°F
$61 Vol.
2%
108°F or higher
$218 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong high pressure building over the southern Plains is steering the market toward 100-101°F as the leading outcome for Dallas on September 13, with NWS and private model guidance converging on highs near 101–102°F under mostly sunny skies and south winds of 5–10 mph. Clear conditions and above-average dew points supporting heat indices above 105°F favor peak afternoon readings in this range, consistent with the ongoing late-summer pattern of triple-digit heat amid a prolonged dry spell. Minor model spread keeps 98-99°F and 102-103°F as secondary possibilities, while the low probability assigned to 104°F+ reflects limited upside potential without unexpected changes in steering flow or moisture. Updated National Weather Service briefings and next model runs will refine these implied probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,752End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong high pressure building over the southern Plains is steering the market toward 100-101°F as the leading outcome for Dallas on September 13, with NWS and private model guidance converging on highs near 101–102°F under mostly sunny skies and south winds of 5–10 mph. Clear conditions and above-average dew points supporting heat indices above 105°F favor peak afternoon readings in this range, consistent with the ongoing late-summer pattern of triple-digit heat amid a prolonged dry spell. Minor model spread keeps 98-99°F and 102-103°F as secondary possibilities, while the low probability assigned to 104°F+ reflects limited upside potential without unexpected changes in steering flow or moisture. Updated National Weather Service briefings and next model runs will refine these implied probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,752End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong high pressure building over the southern Plains is steering the market toward 100-101°F as the leading outcome for Dallas on September 13, with NWS and private model guidance converging on highs near 101–102°F under mostly sunny skies and south winds of 5–10 mph. Clear conditions and above-average dew points supporting heat indices above 105°F favor peak afternoon readings in this range, consistent with the ongoing late-summer pattern of triple-digit heat amid a prolonged dry spell. Minor model spread keeps 98-99°F and 102-103°F as secondary possibilities, while the low probability assigned to 104°F+ reflects limited upside potential without unexpected changes in steering flow or moisture. Updated National Weather Service briefings and next model runs will refine these implied probabilities ahead of the observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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