Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and GFS runs indicate a peak temperature of 22–23°C in Paris on September 16, 2026, under variable skies with northwest winds of 10–15 km/h and limited sunshine that caps daytime warming. Morning lows near 15–16°C give way to an afternoon maximum between 19–22°C as cloud cover increases, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September. Trader consensus, reflected in the 66.5% implied probability on 22°C and secondary support for 23°C, aligns with these stable model outputs and the absence of atypical heat advection or clear-sky amplification. Official station readings through the evening will confirm the daily high against these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on September 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 16?
22°C 64%
23°C 30%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$51,031 Vol.
$51,031 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
71%
23°C
30%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 64%
23°C 30%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$51,031 Vol.
$51,031 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
18°C or below
$1,854 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,442 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,682 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$10,369 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$8,115 Vol.
71%
23°C
$11,181 Vol.
30%
24°C
$6,233 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,014 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,093 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,594 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$1,453 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and GFS runs indicate a peak temperature of 22–23°C in Paris on September 16, 2026, under variable skies with northwest winds of 10–15 km/h and limited sunshine that caps daytime warming. Morning lows near 15–16°C give way to an afternoon maximum between 19–22°C as cloud cover increases, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September. Trader consensus, reflected in the 66.5% implied probability on 22°C and secondary support for 23°C, aligns with these stable model outputs and the absence of atypical heat advection or clear-sky amplification. Official station readings through the evening will confirm the daily high against these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$51,031End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and GFS runs indicate a peak temperature of 22–23°C in Paris on September 16, 2026, under variable skies with northwest winds of 10–15 km/h and limited sunshine that caps daytime warming. Morning lows near 15–16°C give way to an afternoon maximum between 19–22°C as cloud cover increases, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September. Trader consensus, reflected in the 66.5% implied probability on 22°C and secondary support for 23°C, aligns with these stable model outputs and the absence of atypical heat advection or clear-sky amplification. Official station readings through the evening will confirm the daily high against these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$51,031End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned models and GFS runs indicate a peak temperature of 22–23°C in Paris on September 16, 2026, under variable skies with northwest winds of 10–15 km/h and limited sunshine that caps daytime warming. Morning lows near 15–16°C give way to an afternoon maximum between 19–22°C as cloud cover increases, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September. Trader consensus, reflected in the 66.5% implied probability on 22°C and secondary support for 23°C, aligns with these stable model outputs and the absence of atypical heat advection or clear-sky amplification. Official station readings through the evening will confirm the daily high against these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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