Recent forecasts from Turkey's meteorological agency highlight scattered showers and increased cloud cover over Ankara today, which are expected to limit peak heating and keep the daily maximum near 23–24°C despite seasonal norms around 25–27°C. Model consensus shows variable afternoon instability, with precipitation timing and intensity creating narrow uncertainty between these thresholds at official monitoring stations. Local factors including the city's plateau elevation, light winds, and moderate humidity further moderate surface temperatures, while historical September data indicates similar transitional patterns often resolve 1–2°C below clear-sky potential. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric conditions heavily as final observations approach.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on September 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 16?
24°C 47%
23°C 44%
25°C 7%
22°C 3%
$46,263 Vol.
$46,263 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
44%
24°C
47%
25°C
7%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 47%
23°C 44%
25°C 7%
22°C 3%
$46,263 Vol.
$46,263 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
19°C or below
$5,010 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,710 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$13,923 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5,521 Vol.
3%
23°C
$5,544 Vol.
44%
24°C
$3,776 Vol.
47%
25°C
$3,907 Vol.
7%
26°C
$3,012 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,336 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$349 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$176 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Turkey's meteorological agency highlight scattered showers and increased cloud cover over Ankara today, which are expected to limit peak heating and keep the daily maximum near 23–24°C despite seasonal norms around 25–27°C. Model consensus shows variable afternoon instability, with precipitation timing and intensity creating narrow uncertainty between these thresholds at official monitoring stations. Local factors including the city's plateau elevation, light winds, and moderate humidity further moderate surface temperatures, while historical September data indicates similar transitional patterns often resolve 1–2°C below clear-sky potential. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric conditions heavily as final observations approach.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$46,263End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Turkey's meteorological agency highlight scattered showers and increased cloud cover over Ankara today, which are expected to limit peak heating and keep the daily maximum near 23–24°C despite seasonal norms around 25–27°C. Model consensus shows variable afternoon instability, with precipitation timing and intensity creating narrow uncertainty between these thresholds at official monitoring stations. Local factors including the city's plateau elevation, light winds, and moderate humidity further moderate surface temperatures, while historical September data indicates similar transitional patterns often resolve 1–2°C below clear-sky potential. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric conditions heavily as final observations approach.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46,263End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Turkey's meteorological agency highlight scattered showers and increased cloud cover over Ankara today, which are expected to limit peak heating and keep the daily maximum near 23–24°C despite seasonal norms around 25–27°C. Model consensus shows variable afternoon instability, with precipitation timing and intensity creating narrow uncertainty between these thresholds at official monitoring stations. Local factors including the city's plateau elevation, light winds, and moderate humidity further moderate surface temperatures, while historical September data indicates similar transitional patterns often resolve 1–2°C below clear-sky potential. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric conditions heavily as final observations approach.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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