Current forecast guidance from models such as GFS points to a mild southwesterly flow bringing daytime highs near 25–27°C across Munich on September 16, supporting the market’s strong 90.5% implied probability on 27°C as the daily maximum. Scattered thunderstorms and increasing cloud cover are expected to limit further warming, keeping values below the historical record of 29.8°C while remaining well above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.6°C. Model consensus shows limited spread around this range, with only modest upside potential if breaks in cloud cover allow greater insolation. Resolution hinges on official station readings, and any late-day clearing or stronger advection could push temperatures toward 28°C, though current conditions make that scenario unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on September 16?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 16?
27°C 94%
28°C 7%
29°C 2.0%
32°C <1%
$69,382 Vol.
$69,382 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
94%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 94%
28°C 7%
29°C 2.0%
32°C <1%
$69,382 Vol.
$69,382 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
$5,009 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$16,011 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$9,873 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$10,201 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$11,958 Vol.
94%
28°C
$6,341 Vol.
7%
29°C
$4,889 Vol.
2%
30°C
$1,335 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,687 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,517 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$1,564 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from models such as GFS points to a mild southwesterly flow bringing daytime highs near 25–27°C across Munich on September 16, supporting the market’s strong 90.5% implied probability on 27°C as the daily maximum. Scattered thunderstorms and increasing cloud cover are expected to limit further warming, keeping values below the historical record of 29.8°C while remaining well above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.6°C. Model consensus shows limited spread around this range, with only modest upside potential if breaks in cloud cover allow greater insolation. Resolution hinges on official station readings, and any late-day clearing or stronger advection could push temperatures toward 28°C, though current conditions make that scenario unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$69,382End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from models such as GFS points to a mild southwesterly flow bringing daytime highs near 25–27°C across Munich on September 16, supporting the market’s strong 90.5% implied probability on 27°C as the daily maximum. Scattered thunderstorms and increasing cloud cover are expected to limit further warming, keeping values below the historical record of 29.8°C while remaining well above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.6°C. Model consensus shows limited spread around this range, with only modest upside potential if breaks in cloud cover allow greater insolation. Resolution hinges on official station readings, and any late-day clearing or stronger advection could push temperatures toward 28°C, though current conditions make that scenario unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$69,382End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from models such as GFS points to a mild southwesterly flow bringing daytime highs near 25–27°C across Munich on September 16, supporting the market’s strong 90.5% implied probability on 27°C as the daily maximum. Scattered thunderstorms and increasing cloud cover are expected to limit further warming, keeping values below the historical record of 29.8°C while remaining well above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.6°C. Model consensus shows limited spread around this range, with only modest upside potential if breaks in cloud cover allow greater insolation. Resolution hinges on official station readings, and any late-day clearing or stronger advection could push temperatures toward 28°C, though current conditions make that scenario unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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