Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and GFS model runs indicate highs of 92–93°F (33–34°C) for Karachi on September 18 under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 8–10 mph and moderate humidity near 60%. This positions 34°C as the leading market outcome at 43% implied probability, followed by 33°C and 35°C, as typical late-monsoon steering patterns and sea-breeze effects support a narrow range without major intensification or suppression. Current conditions on September 16 show similar highs near 93–95°F with scattered clouds, providing a stable baseline ahead of the date. Minor model variations in afternoon peak timing or cloud cover introduce the modest spread across 33–35°C, while historical September averages near 32°C underscore why traders assign low probability to extremes outside this window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on September 18?
Highest temperature in Karachi on September 18?
34°C 43%
33°C 27%
36°C 25%
35°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
24%
32°C
12%
33°C
27%
34°C
43%
35°C
25%
36°C
25%
37°C
8%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 43%
33°C 27%
36°C 25%
35°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
28°C or below
$167 Vol.
2%
29°C
$13 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
24%
32°C
$12 Vol.
12%
33°C
$0 Vol.
27%
34°C
$5 Vol.
43%
35°C
$0 Vol.
25%
36°C
$0 Vol.
25%
37°C
$0 Vol.
8%
38°C or higher
$111 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and GFS model runs indicate highs of 92–93°F (33–34°C) for Karachi on September 18 under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 8–10 mph and moderate humidity near 60%. This positions 34°C as the leading market outcome at 43% implied probability, followed by 33°C and 35°C, as typical late-monsoon steering patterns and sea-breeze effects support a narrow range without major intensification or suppression. Current conditions on September 16 show similar highs near 93–95°F with scattered clouds, providing a stable baseline ahead of the date. Minor model variations in afternoon peak timing or cloud cover introduce the modest spread across 33–35°C, while historical September averages near 32°C underscore why traders assign low probability to extremes outside this window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$309End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and GFS model runs indicate highs of 92–93°F (33–34°C) for Karachi on September 18 under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 8–10 mph and moderate humidity near 60%. This positions 34°C as the leading market outcome at 43% implied probability, followed by 33°C and 35°C, as typical late-monsoon steering patterns and sea-breeze effects support a narrow range without major intensification or suppression. Current conditions on September 16 show similar highs near 93–95°F with scattered clouds, providing a stable baseline ahead of the date. Minor model variations in afternoon peak timing or cloud cover introduce the modest spread across 33–35°C, while historical September averages near 32°C underscore why traders assign low probability to extremes outside this window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$309End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and GFS model runs indicate highs of 92–93°F (33–34°C) for Karachi on September 18 under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 8–10 mph and moderate humidity near 60%. This positions 34°C as the leading market outcome at 43% implied probability, followed by 33°C and 35°C, as typical late-monsoon steering patterns and sea-breeze effects support a narrow range without major intensification or suppression. Current conditions on September 16 show similar highs near 93–95°F with scattered clouds, providing a stable baseline ahead of the date. Minor model variations in afternoon peak timing or cloud cover introduce the modest spread across 33–35°C, while historical September averages near 32°C underscore why traders assign low probability to extremes outside this window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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