**Trader consensus on a 36°C high for Karachi on September 16 reflects the latest Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and numerical weather model outputs showing a peak near that threshold under partly cloudy, humid conditions with southwest winds.** Recent observations indicate afternoon temperatures climbing into the mid-30s Celsius amid typical late-monsoon moisture, consistent with September climatology where daily maxima often reach 32–35°C. Model agreement across available runs supports limited further intensification or cooling from sea breezes, keeping the implied probability near 100% for exactly 36°C resolution. A modest shift in steering flow or delayed sea-breeze onset could allow readings to exceed or fall short of this mark, with final verification dependent on the official station maximum reported by PMD.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on September 16?
Highest temperature in Karachi on September 16?
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$25,300 Vol.
$25,300 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$25,300 Vol.
$25,300 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
29°C or below
$1,224 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$267 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$861 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,565 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,112 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$3,247 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$5,970 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$4,498 Vol.
100%
37°C
$3,509 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$824 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$223 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 36°C high for Karachi on September 16 reflects the latest Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and numerical weather model outputs showing a peak near that threshold under partly cloudy, humid conditions with southwest winds.** Recent observations indicate afternoon temperatures climbing into the mid-30s Celsius amid typical late-monsoon moisture, consistent with September climatology where daily maxima often reach 32–35°C. Model agreement across available runs supports limited further intensification or cooling from sea breezes, keeping the implied probability near 100% for exactly 36°C resolution. A modest shift in steering flow or delayed sea-breeze onset could allow readings to exceed or fall short of this mark, with final verification dependent on the official station maximum reported by PMD.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$25,300End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 36°C high for Karachi on September 16 reflects the latest Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and numerical weather model outputs showing a peak near that threshold under partly cloudy, humid conditions with southwest winds.** Recent observations indicate afternoon temperatures climbing into the mid-30s Celsius amid typical late-monsoon moisture, consistent with September climatology where daily maxima often reach 32–35°C. Model agreement across available runs supports limited further intensification or cooling from sea breezes, keeping the implied probability near 100% for exactly 36°C resolution. A modest shift in steering flow or delayed sea-breeze onset could allow readings to exceed or fall short of this mark, with final verification dependent on the official station maximum reported by PMD.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,300End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on a 36°C high for Karachi on September 16 reflects the latest Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and numerical weather model outputs showing a peak near that threshold under partly cloudy, humid conditions with southwest winds.** Recent observations indicate afternoon temperatures climbing into the mid-30s Celsius amid typical late-monsoon moisture, consistent with September climatology where daily maxima often reach 32–35°C. Model agreement across available runs supports limited further intensification or cooling from sea breezes, keeping the implied probability near 100% for exactly 36°C resolution. A modest shift in steering flow or delayed sea-breeze onset could allow readings to exceed or fall short of this mark, with final verification dependent on the official station maximum reported by PMD.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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