**Current forecasts from regional meteorological models place Lucknow's maximum temperature for September 16 firmly at or above 33°C, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome.** Typical late-monsoon atmospheric conditions over northern India, including high dew points near 26–27°C and light westerly winds, support afternoon heating to 32–34°C despite scattered afternoon convection. Historical September averages for Lucknow show daily highs around 33–34°C, providing climatological context for the strong trader consensus. Minor model spread exists on exact peak values due to variable thunderstorm timing, but no credible guidance indicates a drop below the threshold. Only a significant, unforecasted increase in cloud cover or heavier precipitation would realistically alter the outcome before evening observations finalize the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 16?
33°C or higher 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$31,279 Vol.
$31,279 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
100%
33°C or higher 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$31,279 Vol.
$31,279 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
$1,294 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$294 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$990 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$356 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$372 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,427 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,531 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,956 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$13,157 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$7,757 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from regional meteorological models place Lucknow's maximum temperature for September 16 firmly at or above 33°C, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome.** Typical late-monsoon atmospheric conditions over northern India, including high dew points near 26–27°C and light westerly winds, support afternoon heating to 32–34°C despite scattered afternoon convection. Historical September averages for Lucknow show daily highs around 33–34°C, providing climatological context for the strong trader consensus. Minor model spread exists on exact peak values due to variable thunderstorm timing, but no credible guidance indicates a drop below the threshold. Only a significant, unforecasted increase in cloud cover or heavier precipitation would realistically alter the outcome before evening observations finalize the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$31,279End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from regional meteorological models place Lucknow's maximum temperature for September 16 firmly at or above 33°C, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome.** Typical late-monsoon atmospheric conditions over northern India, including high dew points near 26–27°C and light westerly winds, support afternoon heating to 32–34°C despite scattered afternoon convection. Historical September averages for Lucknow show daily highs around 33–34°C, providing climatological context for the strong trader consensus. Minor model spread exists on exact peak values due to variable thunderstorm timing, but no credible guidance indicates a drop below the threshold. Only a significant, unforecasted increase in cloud cover or heavier precipitation would realistically alter the outcome before evening observations finalize the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,279End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from regional meteorological models place Lucknow's maximum temperature for September 16 firmly at or above 33°C, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome.** Typical late-monsoon atmospheric conditions over northern India, including high dew points near 26–27°C and light westerly winds, support afternoon heating to 32–34°C despite scattered afternoon convection. Historical September averages for Lucknow show daily highs around 33–34°C, providing climatological context for the strong trader consensus. Minor model spread exists on exact peak values due to variable thunderstorm timing, but no credible guidance indicates a drop below the threshold. Only a significant, unforecasted increase in cloud cover or heavier precipitation would realistically alter the outcome before evening observations finalize the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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