Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Lucknow's maximum temperature on September 18 will likely fall in the 32–34°C range amid lingering monsoon moisture, with partly cloudy skies, 40–50% thunderstorm chances, and light westerly winds. High humidity and scattered cloud cover are limiting daytime heating compared to clearer pre-monsoon conditions, keeping values near or slightly above seasonal averages for mid-September. Official monitoring shows recent days with highs of 33–34°C and no strong warming trend expected before the 18th. Trader consensus on 33°C as the modal outcome reflects model agreement on these atmospheric conditions, while the spread to 32°C and 34°C captures uncertainty from variable rainfall timing and intensity that could alter peak readings by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 18?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 18?
33°C 38%
34°C 27%
32°C 27%
31°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
12%
32°C
27%
33°C
38%
34°C
27%
35°C
9%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
2%
33°C 38%
34°C 27%
32°C 27%
31°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
27°C or below
$31 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
5%
31°C
$0 Vol.
12%
32°C
$0 Vol.
27%
33°C
$5 Vol.
38%
34°C
$0 Vol.
27%
35°C
$0 Vol.
9%
36°C
$51 Vol.
3%
37°C or higher
$57 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Lucknow's maximum temperature on September 18 will likely fall in the 32–34°C range amid lingering monsoon moisture, with partly cloudy skies, 40–50% thunderstorm chances, and light westerly winds. High humidity and scattered cloud cover are limiting daytime heating compared to clearer pre-monsoon conditions, keeping values near or slightly above seasonal averages for mid-September. Official monitoring shows recent days with highs of 33–34°C and no strong warming trend expected before the 18th. Trader consensus on 33°C as the modal outcome reflects model agreement on these atmospheric conditions, while the spread to 32°C and 34°C captures uncertainty from variable rainfall timing and intensity that could alter peak readings by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$144End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Lucknow's maximum temperature on September 18 will likely fall in the 32–34°C range amid lingering monsoon moisture, with partly cloudy skies, 40–50% thunderstorm chances, and light westerly winds. High humidity and scattered cloud cover are limiting daytime heating compared to clearer pre-monsoon conditions, keeping values near or slightly above seasonal averages for mid-September. Official monitoring shows recent days with highs of 33–34°C and no strong warming trend expected before the 18th. Trader consensus on 33°C as the modal outcome reflects model agreement on these atmospheric conditions, while the spread to 32°C and 34°C captures uncertainty from variable rainfall timing and intensity that could alter peak readings by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$144End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Lucknow's maximum temperature on September 18 will likely fall in the 32–34°C range amid lingering monsoon moisture, with partly cloudy skies, 40–50% thunderstorm chances, and light westerly winds. High humidity and scattered cloud cover are limiting daytime heating compared to clearer pre-monsoon conditions, keeping values near or slightly above seasonal averages for mid-September. Official monitoring shows recent days with highs of 33–34°C and no strong warming trend expected before the 18th. Trader consensus on 33°C as the modal outcome reflects model agreement on these atmospheric conditions, while the spread to 32°C and 34°C captures uncertainty from variable rainfall timing and intensity that could alter peak readings by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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