Recent forecasts from sources including the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate overnight lows in Lucknow around 26–27°C on September 18, with partly cloudy skies, high humidity near 70–80%, and light variable winds limiting radiative cooling. Persistent moisture from the retreating monsoon and scattered thunderstorm chances reduce the potential for sharp nighttime drops, while any clearing could allow modest cooling. This uncertainty between continued humid, stable conditions favoring minima near 26°C and less likely clearer, drier scenarios supports the near-even market split between the ≤21°C and ≥31°C brackets. Updated IMD model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely clarify steering patterns and cloud trends ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 18?
21°C or below 100%
31°C or higher 95%
26°C 48%
25°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
21°C or below
100%
22°C
20%
23°C
22%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
48%
27°C
39%
28°C
20%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C or higher
95%
21°C or below 100%
31°C or higher 95%
26°C 48%
25°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
22°C
$0 Vol.
20%
23°C
$0 Vol.
22%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
40%
26°C
$22 Vol.
48%
27°C
$0 Vol.
39%
28°C
$0 Vol.
20%
29°C
$0 Vol.
39%
30°C
$0 Vol.
39%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate overnight lows in Lucknow around 26–27°C on September 18, with partly cloudy skies, high humidity near 70–80%, and light variable winds limiting radiative cooling. Persistent moisture from the retreating monsoon and scattered thunderstorm chances reduce the potential for sharp nighttime drops, while any clearing could allow modest cooling. This uncertainty between continued humid, stable conditions favoring minima near 26°C and less likely clearer, drier scenarios supports the near-even market split between the ≤21°C and ≥31°C brackets. Updated IMD model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely clarify steering patterns and cloud trends ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$22End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate overnight lows in Lucknow around 26–27°C on September 18, with partly cloudy skies, high humidity near 70–80%, and light variable winds limiting radiative cooling. Persistent moisture from the retreating monsoon and scattered thunderstorm chances reduce the potential for sharp nighttime drops, while any clearing could allow modest cooling. This uncertainty between continued humid, stable conditions favoring minima near 26°C and less likely clearer, drier scenarios supports the near-even market split between the ≤21°C and ≥31°C brackets. Updated IMD model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely clarify steering patterns and cloud trends ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate overnight lows in Lucknow around 26–27°C on September 18, with partly cloudy skies, high humidity near 70–80%, and light variable winds limiting radiative cooling. Persistent moisture from the retreating monsoon and scattered thunderstorm chances reduce the potential for sharp nighttime drops, while any clearing could allow modest cooling. This uncertainty between continued humid, stable conditions favoring minima near 26°C and less likely clearer, drier scenarios supports the near-even market split between the ≤21°C and ≥31°C brackets. Updated IMD model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely clarify steering patterns and cloud trends ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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