Forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Lucknow on September 16, 2026, with partly cloudy skies and isolated light rain or thundershowers expected to moderate overnight radiative cooling. High humidity around 70-80% and light southwest winds further limit temperature drops, aligning with typical late-monsoon September lows of 24-26°C. Trader consensus favors outcomes clustered around 23-26°C because recent observations show minima holding near 26°C amid stable atmospheric conditions, while lower probabilities for 20°C or below reflect the low likelihood of clear skies or stronger cooling. Upcoming IMD updates and official station readings will determine final resolution against these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 16?
20°C or below 100%
23°C 93%
24°C 48%
21°C 18%
$414 Vol.
$414 Vol.
20°C or below
100%
21°C
18%
22°C
9%
23°C
93%
24°C
48%
25°C
47%
26°C
57%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 100%
23°C 93%
24°C 48%
21°C 18%
$414 Vol.
$414 Vol.
20°C or below
100%
21°C
18%
22°C
9%
23°C
93%
24°C
48%
25°C
47%
26°C
57%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Lucknow on September 16, 2026, with partly cloudy skies and isolated light rain or thundershowers expected to moderate overnight radiative cooling. High humidity around 70-80% and light southwest winds further limit temperature drops, aligning with typical late-monsoon September lows of 24-26°C. Trader consensus favors outcomes clustered around 23-26°C because recent observations show minima holding near 26°C amid stable atmospheric conditions, while lower probabilities for 20°C or below reflect the low likelihood of clear skies or stronger cooling. Upcoming IMD updates and official station readings will determine final resolution against these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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