Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate a daily maximum near 29–31°C on September 18, driven by typical late-wet-season conditions with high humidity, scattered convection, and light winds that limit extreme heating. Model consensus from regional guidance shows modest variability tied to the timing and coverage of afternoon thunderstorms, which can cap temperatures through evaporative cooling or allow brief spikes under clearer breaks. Historical September averages near 29°C provide context, while the spread across 28–33°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact peak timing relative to official measurement windows. The 34°C-or-higher bin remains plausible only under drier, sunnier deviations not currently favored by ensemble runs. Updated short-range model outputs and local station observations in the next 48 hours will refine these distinctions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 18?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 18?
33°C 40%
29°C 39%
31°C 39%
32°C 34%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
24°C or below
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
15%
29°C
39%
30°C
12%
31°C
39%
32°C
33%
33°C
40%
34°C or higher
17%
33°C 40%
29°C 39%
31°C 39%
32°C 34%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
15%
29°C
$0 Vol.
39%
30°C
$0 Vol.
12%
31°C
$0 Vol.
39%
32°C
$49 Vol.
33%
33°C
$58 Vol.
40%
34°C or higher
$0 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate a daily maximum near 29–31°C on September 18, driven by typical late-wet-season conditions with high humidity, scattered convection, and light winds that limit extreme heating. Model consensus from regional guidance shows modest variability tied to the timing and coverage of afternoon thunderstorms, which can cap temperatures through evaporative cooling or allow brief spikes under clearer breaks. Historical September averages near 29°C provide context, while the spread across 28–33°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact peak timing relative to official measurement windows. The 34°C-or-higher bin remains plausible only under drier, sunnier deviations not currently favored by ensemble runs. Updated short-range model outputs and local station observations in the next 48 hours will refine these distinctions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$107End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate a daily maximum near 29–31°C on September 18, driven by typical late-wet-season conditions with high humidity, scattered convection, and light winds that limit extreme heating. Model consensus from regional guidance shows modest variability tied to the timing and coverage of afternoon thunderstorms, which can cap temperatures through evaporative cooling or allow brief spikes under clearer breaks. Historical September averages near 29°C provide context, while the spread across 28–33°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact peak timing relative to official measurement windows. The 34°C-or-higher bin remains plausible only under drier, sunnier deviations not currently favored by ensemble runs. Updated short-range model outputs and local station observations in the next 48 hours will refine these distinctions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$107End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate a daily maximum near 29–31°C on September 18, driven by typical late-wet-season conditions with high humidity, scattered convection, and light winds that limit extreme heating. Model consensus from regional guidance shows modest variability tied to the timing and coverage of afternoon thunderstorms, which can cap temperatures through evaporative cooling or allow brief spikes under clearer breaks. Historical September averages near 29°C provide context, while the spread across 28–33°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact peak timing relative to official measurement windows. The 34°C-or-higher bin remains plausible only under drier, sunnier deviations not currently favored by ensemble runs. Updated short-range model outputs and local station observations in the next 48 hours will refine these distinctions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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