Recent short-term weather model consensus for Panama City, Panama, points to a maximum temperature near 33°C on September 17 amid the ongoing rainy season, where persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate northeasterly trade winds limit daytime heating compared to drier periods. Official monitoring from regional meteorological services shows typical September baselines around 30–32°C, with higher humidity and precipitation reducing peak values, though brief clear intervals could allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Trader emphasis on the 33°C and 34°C outcomes reflects these climatological patterns and the narrow forecast spread, while lower probabilities for 32°C or below align with minimal expected cooling from overnight rains. Updated model runs and local observations in the coming hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official maximum readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 17?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 17?
33°C 56%
34°C 27%
32°C 17%
31°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
17%
33°C
56%
34°C
27%
35°C or higher
2%
33°C 56%
34°C 27%
32°C 17%
31°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
25°C or below
$69 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$37 Vol.
1%
29°C
$89 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$258 Vol.
4%
32°C
$1,427 Vol.
17%
33°C
$2,912 Vol.
56%
34°C
$1,194 Vol.
27%
35°C or higher
$306 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term weather model consensus for Panama City, Panama, points to a maximum temperature near 33°C on September 17 amid the ongoing rainy season, where persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate northeasterly trade winds limit daytime heating compared to drier periods. Official monitoring from regional meteorological services shows typical September baselines around 30–32°C, with higher humidity and precipitation reducing peak values, though brief clear intervals could allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Trader emphasis on the 33°C and 34°C outcomes reflects these climatological patterns and the narrow forecast spread, while lower probabilities for 32°C or below align with minimal expected cooling from overnight rains. Updated model runs and local observations in the coming hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,356End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term weather model consensus for Panama City, Panama, points to a maximum temperature near 33°C on September 17 amid the ongoing rainy season, where persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate northeasterly trade winds limit daytime heating compared to drier periods. Official monitoring from regional meteorological services shows typical September baselines around 30–32°C, with higher humidity and precipitation reducing peak values, though brief clear intervals could allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Trader emphasis on the 33°C and 34°C outcomes reflects these climatological patterns and the narrow forecast spread, while lower probabilities for 32°C or below align with minimal expected cooling from overnight rains. Updated model runs and local observations in the coming hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,356End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term weather model consensus for Panama City, Panama, points to a maximum temperature near 33°C on September 17 amid the ongoing rainy season, where persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate northeasterly trade winds limit daytime heating compared to drier periods. Official monitoring from regional meteorological services shows typical September baselines around 30–32°C, with higher humidity and precipitation reducing peak values, though brief clear intervals could allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Trader emphasis on the 33°C and 34°C outcomes reflects these climatological patterns and the narrow forecast spread, while lower probabilities for 32°C or below align with minimal expected cooling from overnight rains. Updated model runs and local observations in the coming hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official maximum readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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