**Current observational data and forecast models from Singapore's meteorological authorities show a daily maximum temperature reaching 34°C today under southwest monsoon conditions with southeast winds and limited afternoon convection.** This aligns with the second-half September outlook projecting maxima of 33–34°C on most days, occasionally hitting 35°C, against a long-term September average high of 31.6°C. Recent measurements, including a 35.3°C peak earlier in the month at Sembawang, support trader consensus around this threshold amid warm, humid conditions with dew points near 21–24°C. The 100% market-implied probability for 34°C reflects real-time station readings and model consensus with minimal uncertainty in peak timing or intensity. Unusually widespread or intense thundery showers could cap the high slightly lower, though current patterns indicate this is unlikely before evening cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on September 16?
Highest temperature in Singapore on September 16?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$70,772 Vol.
$70,772 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$70,772 Vol.
$70,772 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
28°C or below
$1,873 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,325 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$941 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,440 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$8,042 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$35,534 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$13,065 Vol.
100%
35°C
$4,771 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,506 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$208 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$67 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current observational data and forecast models from Singapore's meteorological authorities show a daily maximum temperature reaching 34°C today under southwest monsoon conditions with southeast winds and limited afternoon convection.** This aligns with the second-half September outlook projecting maxima of 33–34°C on most days, occasionally hitting 35°C, against a long-term September average high of 31.6°C. Recent measurements, including a 35.3°C peak earlier in the month at Sembawang, support trader consensus around this threshold amid warm, humid conditions with dew points near 21–24°C. The 100% market-implied probability for 34°C reflects real-time station readings and model consensus with minimal uncertainty in peak timing or intensity. Unusually widespread or intense thundery showers could cap the high slightly lower, though current patterns indicate this is unlikely before evening cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$70,772End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current observational data and forecast models from Singapore's meteorological authorities show a daily maximum temperature reaching 34°C today under southwest monsoon conditions with southeast winds and limited afternoon convection.** This aligns with the second-half September outlook projecting maxima of 33–34°C on most days, occasionally hitting 35°C, against a long-term September average high of 31.6°C. Recent measurements, including a 35.3°C peak earlier in the month at Sembawang, support trader consensus around this threshold amid warm, humid conditions with dew points near 21–24°C. The 100% market-implied probability for 34°C reflects real-time station readings and model consensus with minimal uncertainty in peak timing or intensity. Unusually widespread or intense thundery showers could cap the high slightly lower, though current patterns indicate this is unlikely before evening cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$70,772End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current observational data and forecast models from Singapore's meteorological authorities show a daily maximum temperature reaching 34°C today under southwest monsoon conditions with southeast winds and limited afternoon convection.** This aligns with the second-half September outlook projecting maxima of 33–34°C on most days, occasionally hitting 35°C, against a long-term September average high of 31.6°C. Recent measurements, including a 35.3°C peak earlier in the month at Sembawang, support trader consensus around this threshold amid warm, humid conditions with dew points near 21–24°C. The 100% market-implied probability for 34°C reflects real-time station readings and model consensus with minimal uncertainty in peak timing or intensity. Unusually widespread or intense thundery showers could cap the high slightly lower, though current patterns indicate this is unlikely before evening cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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