**Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C daily minimum in Singapore on September 16, reflecting official Meteorological Service Singapore outlooks and numerical model consensus under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions.** Warm, humid nights with minimum temperatures remaining above 27°C have characterized much of September, consistent with the agency’s fortnight forecast noting limited nocturnal cooling amid localized thundery showers and southeast-to-southwest winds. Historical September averages near 25.2°C have been exceeded recently due to suppressed rainfall and persistent moisture, while current 10-day guidance shows overnight lows clustered at 27–28°C (roughly 82°F). With resolution hinging on official station readings and no significant frontal systems or enhanced rain expected to drive further cooling today, the 87% implied probability for 27°C aligns with the narrow forecast envelope and low likelihood of dipping to 26°C or below.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Singapore on September 16?
27°C 99%
25°C 20%
26°C 13%
23°C 10%
$475 Vol.
$475 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
10%
24°C
10%
25°C
20%
26°C
13%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99%
25°C 20%
26°C 13%
23°C 10%
$475 Vol.
$475 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
10%
24°C
10%
25°C
20%
26°C
13%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C daily minimum in Singapore on September 16, reflecting official Meteorological Service Singapore outlooks and numerical model consensus under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions.** Warm, humid nights with minimum temperatures remaining above 27°C have characterized much of September, consistent with the agency’s fortnight forecast noting limited nocturnal cooling amid localized thundery showers and southeast-to-southwest winds. Historical September averages near 25.2°C have been exceeded recently due to suppressed rainfall and persistent moisture, while current 10-day guidance shows overnight lows clustered at 27–28°C (roughly 82°F). With resolution hinging on official station readings and no significant frontal systems or enhanced rain expected to drive further cooling today, the 87% implied probability for 27°C aligns with the narrow forecast envelope and low likelihood of dipping to 26°C or below.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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