Recent forecasts for Denver on September 18 indicate scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover that limit daytime solar heating, keeping projected highs mostly in the upper 70s to low 80s. Official guidance from the National Weather Service and local models shows peaks near 78–83°F amid a post-frontal airmass with moderate moisture, consistent with the market’s near-even distribution across the 80–85°F bins. Thunderstorm timing and coverage introduce the main uncertainty, as earlier or more widespread storms could suppress temperatures toward the lower leading outcomes while clearer intervals allow brief warming. Historical September averages near 78°F provide context, but the current setup favors modest suppression relative to peak late-summer values. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on September 18?
82-83°F 40%
84-85°F 38%
80-81°F 19%
78-79°F 10%
71°F or below
4%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
40%
84-85°F
38%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
9%
90°F or higher
5%
82-83°F 40%
84-85°F 38%
80-81°F 19%
78-79°F 10%
71°F or below
4%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
40%
84-85°F
38%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
9%
90°F or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Denver on September 18 indicate scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover that limit daytime solar heating, keeping projected highs mostly in the upper 70s to low 80s. Official guidance from the National Weather Service and local models shows peaks near 78–83°F amid a post-frontal airmass with moderate moisture, consistent with the market’s near-even distribution across the 80–85°F bins. Thunderstorm timing and coverage introduce the main uncertainty, as earlier or more widespread storms could suppress temperatures toward the lower leading outcomes while clearer intervals allow brief warming. Historical September averages near 78°F provide context, but the current setup favors modest suppression relative to peak late-summer values. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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