Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers indicate Atlanta will experience overnight lows near 70–73°F on September 18, 2026, driven by weak steering flow, limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, and scattered thunderstorm activity that maintains boundary-layer moisture. These conditions produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 70–73°F bins. Historical climatology shows an average low of 65°F, yet the current warm anomaly stems from above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the Gulf and absence of a reinforcing cold front. Traders weigh minor model spreads in cloud timing and dew-point depression, which can shift the minimum by 2–3°F, against the narrow window before resolution. Updated NWS and NOAA guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine the exact threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Atlanta on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Atlanta on September 18?
70-71°F 40%
72-73°F 40%
68-69°F 19%
74-75°F 19%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
63°F or below
5%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
40%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
5%
82°F or higher
4%
70-71°F 40%
72-73°F 40%
68-69°F 19%
74-75°F 19%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
63°F or below
$0 Vol.
5%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
7%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
11%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
19%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
40%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
40%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
19%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
11%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
7%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
5%
82°F or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers indicate Atlanta will experience overnight lows near 70–73°F on September 18, 2026, driven by weak steering flow, limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, and scattered thunderstorm activity that maintains boundary-layer moisture. These conditions produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 70–73°F bins. Historical climatology shows an average low of 65°F, yet the current warm anomaly stems from above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the Gulf and absence of a reinforcing cold front. Traders weigh minor model spreads in cloud timing and dew-point depression, which can shift the minimum by 2–3°F, against the narrow window before resolution. Updated NWS and NOAA guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katlResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers indicate Atlanta will experience overnight lows near 70–73°F on September 18, 2026, driven by weak steering flow, limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, and scattered thunderstorm activity that maintains boundary-layer moisture. These conditions produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 70–73°F bins. Historical climatology shows an average low of 65°F, yet the current warm anomaly stems from above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the Gulf and absence of a reinforcing cold front. Traders weigh minor model spreads in cloud timing and dew-point depression, which can shift the minimum by 2–3°F, against the narrow window before resolution. Updated NWS and NOAA guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers indicate Atlanta will experience overnight lows near 70–73°F on September 18, 2026, driven by weak steering flow, limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, and scattered thunderstorm activity that maintains boundary-layer moisture. These conditions produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 70–73°F bins. Historical climatology shows an average low of 65°F, yet the current warm anomaly stems from above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the Gulf and absence of a reinforcing cold front. Traders weigh minor model spreads in cloud timing and dew-point depression, which can shift the minimum by 2–3°F, against the narrow window before resolution. Updated NWS and NOAA guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine the exact threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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