**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 16, 2026, centers on 30–32°C, reflecting typical wet-season conditions with modest day-to-day variability.** September falls in Panama’s rainy season, when high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and cloud cover usually limit daytime maxima despite strong solar insolation near the equator. Official climatological norms place average September highs near 28–31°C, with thunderstorms and showers often suppressing peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced surface heating. Recent forecasts indicate partly cloudy skies with a 50–70% chance of storms, consistent with seasonal patterns driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone. This setup creates tight clustering around 30–32°C because the precise high depends on the timing, intensity, and coverage of any convection—earlier or heavier rain caps temperatures lower, while clearer intervals allow modest warming. Model consensus shows limited spread, with no strong anomalous warming or cooling signals from sea-surface temperatures or large-scale circulation. The close market probabilities (32°C at 34.5%, 31°C at 29.5%, 30°C at 25.5%) capture this genuine uncertainty in short-term convective timing, a common feature of tropical forecasting where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind shear can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 16?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 16?
32°C 36%
31°C 30%
30°C 26%
33°C 13%
$25,278 Vol.
$25,278 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
26%
31°C
30%
32°C
36%
33°C
13%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 36%
31°C 30%
30°C 26%
33°C 13%
$25,278 Vol.
$25,278 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
$794 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$294 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$314 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$87 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$503 Vol.
2%
30°C
$6,308 Vol.
26%
31°C
$8,839 Vol.
30%
32°C
$4,496 Vol.
36%
33°C
$3,236 Vol.
13%
34°C
$166 Vol.
7%
35°C or higher
$241 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 16, 2026, centers on 30–32°C, reflecting typical wet-season conditions with modest day-to-day variability.** September falls in Panama’s rainy season, when high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and cloud cover usually limit daytime maxima despite strong solar insolation near the equator. Official climatological norms place average September highs near 28–31°C, with thunderstorms and showers often suppressing peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced surface heating.
Recent forecasts indicate partly cloudy skies with a 50–70% chance of storms, consistent with seasonal patterns driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone. This setup creates tight clustering around 30–32°C because the precise high depends on the timing, intensity, and coverage of any convection—earlier or heavier rain caps temperatures lower, while clearer intervals allow modest warming. Model consensus shows limited spread, with no strong anomalous warming or cooling signals from sea-surface temperatures or large-scale circulation. The close market probabilities (32°C at 34.5%, 31°C at 29.5%, 30°C at 25.5%) capture this genuine uncertainty in short-term convective timing, a common feature of tropical forecasting where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind shear can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$25,278End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 16, 2026, centers on 30–32°C, reflecting typical wet-season conditions with modest day-to-day variability.** September falls in Panama’s rainy season, when high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and cloud cover usually limit daytime maxima despite strong solar insolation near the equator. Official climatological norms place average September highs near 28–31°C, with thunderstorms and showers often suppressing peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced surface heating.
Recent forecasts indicate partly cloudy skies with a 50–70% chance of storms, consistent with seasonal patterns driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone. This setup creates tight clustering around 30–32°C because the precise high depends on the timing, intensity, and coverage of any convection—earlier or heavier rain caps temperatures lower, while clearer intervals allow modest warming. Model consensus shows limited spread, with no strong anomalous warming or cooling signals from sea-surface temperatures or large-scale circulation. The close market probabilities (32°C at 34.5%, 31°C at 29.5%, 30°C at 25.5%) capture this genuine uncertainty in short-term convective timing, a common feature of tropical forecasting where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind shear can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,278End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 16, 2026, centers on 30–32°C, reflecting typical wet-season conditions with modest day-to-day variability.** September falls in Panama’s rainy season, when high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and cloud cover usually limit daytime maxima despite strong solar insolation near the equator. Official climatological norms place average September highs near 28–31°C, with thunderstorms and showers often suppressing peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced surface heating. Recent forecasts indicate partly cloudy skies with a 50–70% chance of storms, consistent with seasonal patterns driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone. This setup creates tight clustering around 30–32°C because the precise high depends on the timing, intensity, and coverage of any convection—earlier or heavier rain caps temperatures lower, while clearer intervals allow modest warming. Model consensus shows limited spread, with no strong anomalous warming or cooling signals from sea-surface temperatures or large-scale circulation. The close market probabilities (32°C at 34.5%, 31°C at 29.5%, 30°C at 25.5%) capture this genuine uncertainty in short-term convective timing, a common feature of tropical forecasting where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind shear can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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