**Persistent high humidity from the active southwest monsoon, combined with forecast cloud cover and thundery development, is limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 26–27 °C in Lucknow on September 17.** Official IMD guidance projects a 27 °C low under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorm potential, aligning with recent observations of 26.4 °C minima and seasonal norms of 24–26 °C. Light westerly winds and dew points near 26–27 °C further reduce the diurnal range, favoring outcomes clustered around 26–27 °C while making sub-25 °C readings unlikely without clearer, drier air. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus alongside uncertainty over exact cloud persistence, with higher-temperature bins capturing residual warm bias from elevated moisture. No significant model shifts are anticipated before the period closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 17?
21°C or below 56%
31°C or higher 56%
26°C 40%
23°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
56%
22°C
6%
23°C
39%
24°C
21%
25°C
17%
26°C
30%
27°C
33%
28°C
38%
29°C
18%
30°C
9%
31°C or higher
56%
21°C or below 56%
31°C or higher 56%
26°C 40%
23°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
56%
22°C
$0 Vol.
6%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$0 Vol.
17%
26°C
$5 Vol.
30%
27°C
$48 Vol.
33%
28°C
$0 Vol.
38%
29°C
$0 Vol.
18%
30°C
$0 Vol.
9%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
56%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high humidity from the active southwest monsoon, combined with forecast cloud cover and thundery development, is limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 26–27 °C in Lucknow on September 17.** Official IMD guidance projects a 27 °C low under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorm potential, aligning with recent observations of 26.4 °C minima and seasonal norms of 24–26 °C. Light westerly winds and dew points near 26–27 °C further reduce the diurnal range, favoring outcomes clustered around 26–27 °C while making sub-25 °C readings unlikely without clearer, drier air. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus alongside uncertainty over exact cloud persistence, with higher-temperature bins capturing residual warm bias from elevated moisture. No significant model shifts are anticipated before the period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$53End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high humidity from the active southwest monsoon, combined with forecast cloud cover and thundery development, is limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 26–27 °C in Lucknow on September 17.** Official IMD guidance projects a 27 °C low under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorm potential, aligning with recent observations of 26.4 °C minima and seasonal norms of 24–26 °C. Light westerly winds and dew points near 26–27 °C further reduce the diurnal range, favoring outcomes clustered around 26–27 °C while making sub-25 °C readings unlikely without clearer, drier air. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus alongside uncertainty over exact cloud persistence, with higher-temperature bins capturing residual warm bias from elevated moisture. No significant model shifts are anticipated before the period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$53End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent high humidity from the active southwest monsoon, combined with forecast cloud cover and thundery development, is limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 26–27 °C in Lucknow on September 17.** Official IMD guidance projects a 27 °C low under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorm potential, aligning with recent observations of 26.4 °C minima and seasonal norms of 24–26 °C. Light westerly winds and dew points near 26–27 °C further reduce the diurnal range, favoring outcomes clustered around 26–27 °C while making sub-25 °C readings unlikely without clearer, drier air. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus alongside uncertainty over exact cloud persistence, with higher-temperature bins capturing residual warm bias from elevated moisture. No significant model shifts are anticipated before the period closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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