Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Karachi on September 16 will likely settle between 26–28°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. High humidity from residual monsoon moisture and moderate southwest winds off the Arabian Sea are limiting radiative cooling, while daytime highs near 32–34°C and light cloud cover sustain elevated minimums consistent with mid-September climatology. Recent light showers in suburban areas on September 15 produced negligible cooling, and the absence of stronger systems or El Niño-driven anomalies supports trader consensus around these thresholds rather than cooler extremes below 24°C or warmer readings above 29°C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening will refine resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on September 16?
23°C or below 74%
26°C 47%
24°C 19%
25°C 1.0%
$326 Vol.
$326 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
74%
24°C
19%
25°C
1%
26°C
47%
27°C
47%
28°C
-
29°C
44%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
23°C or below 74%
26°C 47%
24°C 19%
25°C 1.0%
$326 Vol.
$326 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
74%
24°C
$79 Vol.
19%
25°C
$72 Vol.
1%
26°C
$33 Vol.
47%
27°C
$41 Vol.
47%
28°C
$45 Vol.
-
29°C
$55 Vol.
44%
30°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Karachi on September 16 will likely settle between 26–28°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. High humidity from residual monsoon moisture and moderate southwest winds off the Arabian Sea are limiting radiative cooling, while daytime highs near 32–34°C and light cloud cover sustain elevated minimums consistent with mid-September climatology. Recent light showers in suburban areas on September 15 produced negligible cooling, and the absence of stronger systems or El Niño-driven anomalies supports trader consensus around these thresholds rather than cooler extremes below 24°C or warmer readings above 29°C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$326End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Karachi on September 16 will likely settle between 26–28°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. High humidity from residual monsoon moisture and moderate southwest winds off the Arabian Sea are limiting radiative cooling, while daytime highs near 32–34°C and light cloud cover sustain elevated minimums consistent with mid-September climatology. Recent light showers in suburban areas on September 15 produced negligible cooling, and the absence of stronger systems or El Niño-driven anomalies supports trader consensus around these thresholds rather than cooler extremes below 24°C or warmer readings above 29°C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$326End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate overnight lows in Karachi on September 16 will likely settle between 26–28°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. High humidity from residual monsoon moisture and moderate southwest winds off the Arabian Sea are limiting radiative cooling, while daytime highs near 32–34°C and light cloud cover sustain elevated minimums consistent with mid-September climatology. Recent light showers in suburban areas on September 15 produced negligible cooling, and the absence of stronger systems or El Niño-driven anomalies supports trader consensus around these thresholds rather than cooler extremes below 24°C or warmer readings above 29°C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening will refine resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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